Lyon +2.5
Archived odds 1.33
Archived odds
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Paris SaintGermain
Lyon
Timestamped proof
Lyon +2.5
Archived odds 1.33
Archived odds
Prediction: Lyon +2.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 80.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Lyon +2.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 80.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
PSG beat Strasbourg 3-1 away on October 17 and had four consecutive league wins as of October 18. Lyon beat Nice 2-1 at home on October 18, but then lost 3-0 to Hoffenheim in the Europa League on October 22, with squad rotation mentioned by the club.
The last five complete matches, xG metrics, shots, pressing, and exact rest periods are not sufficiently documented for a reliable statistical comparison.
Lyon beat PSG 2-1 at the Parc des Princes in April 2026. Ligue 1 also indicated that PSG had previously won six consecutive head-to-heads and nine of the last eleven.
This recent history favors Paris, but its prédictive valeur is limited by changes in squads, coaches, and player availability.
In the scenario favorable to PSG, Paris imposes its possession at home, takes advantage of Lyon’s transitions, and builds on its recent victory in Strasbourg as well as its domestic run. In the opposite scenario, Lyon keeps its block compact, exploits turnovers behind a high Parisian press, and targets PSG’s announced absences, relying on its status as league leader and on its 2-1 victory at the Parc in April.
No verified element makes it possible to precisely assess progression under pressure, set pieces, or the quality of the chances.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +4 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | WLWLW | |
| 2 | 8 | +5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | DDWLW | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | DLDWD | |
| 4 | 7 | +8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | WLWDW | |
| 5 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | LWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | WWWLD | |
| 8 | 8 | +5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | WWWLL | |
| 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | DWWLD | |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | WLWWL | |
| 11 | 8 | +1 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | DWDWD | |
| 12 | 8 | -6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | DWLWW | |
| 13 | 8 | +2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | LDWLL | |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | DLLWD | |
| 15 | 8 | -5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | DLLWD | |
| 16 | 8 | -6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | LLLLD | |
| 17 | 8 | -11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | DLLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | -7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | LLLLD |
CoachLuis Enrique
CoachPaulo Fonseca
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Paris Saint GermainLyon
RecordParis Saint Germain · 2W · 0D · 1L