AC Milan wins
Observed odds 1.28
Best odds
Bwin1.28
Bwin1.28
Winamax1.28
PMU1.24Observed odds
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ACMilan
Ferencvaros
AC Milan wins
Observed odds 1.28
Bwin1.28Winamax1.28PMU1.24Observed odds
Prediction: AC Milan · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 76.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: AC Milan · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 76.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Milan lost 3-0 at Bournemouth on 22/10, won 2-0 at Udinese on 25/10, then lost 2-4 at home to Bologna on 28/10. Ferencváros drew 1-1 at Kisvárda on 18/10, won 4-1 against Torreense on 22/10, and 5-0 against MTK on 25/10.
UEFA also presents them with three Europa League wins after three matchdays, compared with a mixed European start for Milan. The partial archives do not allow the five complete latest matches of Ferencváros to be established, nor statistics on chances, shots, or pressing to be compared across a consistent period and provider.
This is the first direct confrontation between AC Milan and Ferencváros. The only Hungarian European precedent mentioned for Milan concerns Győri ETO in the 1967/68 Cup Winners’ Cup, with no direct connection to this matchup.
There is therefore no recent score between these two teams to use, and the absence of shared history limits any analysis based on head-to-head meetings.
Mike Maignan was sent off at Bournemouth on 22/10 and Torriani replaced him; the extent of any potential suspension for Maignan on 5/11 is unconfirmed. Fikayo Tomori came off at half-time against Bologna after a physical issue, with no established status for this match.
Gonçalo Ramos had a negative calf MRI on 22/10, while Samuel Chukwueze was expected to be reassessed after 10 to 15 days; their availability and starting status are unconfirmed. Ferencváros' absences and starting eleven have not been announced.
Milan may look to impose early pressure at home: its 4-4-1-1 and the high regain described against Bologna could favor territorial control. The opposite scenario: Ferencváros absorbs the opening sequences, attacks the spaces behind the full-backs and exploits transitions or set pieces, with Zachariassen as an attacking focal point; Milanese fatigue or a reshuffled défense would strengthen this route.
The actual quality of the chances and Ferencváros' defensive structure are not documented by comparable metrics.
Match scheduled for 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC, at San Siro, Milan, on matchday 4 of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Milan’s home status is confirmed.
The probable starters and goalkeepers for both teams have not been announced. Milan’s rotation due to the schedule is possible, but remains hypothetical.
Indicative eleven drawn from the squad: official line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Eleven from the previous match, against Bournemouth on 22 October 2026
CoachRuben Amorim
Bench
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 18 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | -5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 29 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 31 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 32 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 33 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 34 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 35 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 36 | 2 | -8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
