Prediction Aston Villa – Arsenal: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

0 - 1

EPL Monday, 31 August 2026 · 21:00 Villa Park, Birmingham

PickArsenalAway win
Estimated probability64%

HT0-0
55'0-1
59'0-2B. SakaArsenalAssist · R. Calafiori

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Arsenal wins

Best odds

1xBet1.56

Matchbook1.56

Betsson1.52

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe league-form data and squad information have not been officially confirmed.
RiskReported absences and suspensions are contradictory across sources.
RiskAston Villa’s full lineup is not detailed sufficiently.

View more data

RiskSeveral important departures and Ollie Watkins’s situation may alter the assessment of Villa.
RiskThe recent preparation of both teams is inconsistent in the series provided.
Invalidation conditionCancel any absence-related analysis if the official lineups and medical statuses contradict the information provided.
Invalidation conditionCancel the valeur assessment if the market baseline or odds change significantly before kickoff.
Invalidation conditionCancel any conclusion based on league form if the unconfirmed data is not validated.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Arsenal are favorites according to the market baseline, while the recent form provided is inconsistent for both teams and particularly unfavorable to Aston Villa. Squad information remains contradictory and must be confirmed.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Aston Villa: five results across all competitions, with one win followed by four defeats in the une source spécialisée series provided. Another preview, not officially confirmed, describes Villa as unbeaten in their last five league matches (3 wins, 2 draws).

Arsenal: two wins, one draw and two defeats in the une autre source series provided; another preview indicates 10 points from 15 (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat), with no official confirmation mentioned.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

In the five most recent Premier League meetings provided, Aston Villa have two wins, Arsenal have two, and there has been one draw. The overall league record given indicates 81 wins for Arsenal, 67 for Aston Villa and 40 draws.

Context & news

Match announced as the 2nd matchday of the 2026/27 Premier League at Villa Park, with Unai Emery and Mikel Arteta. Aston Villa is also concerned by several important departures reported recently, while Ollie Watkins’ situation is the subject of contradictory information.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 00:31 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	2	+4	6	2	0	0	6	2	WW
2	2	+3	6	2	0	0	3	0	WW
3	2	+2	6	2	0	0	7	5	WW
4	2	+3	4	1	1	0	4	1	DW
5	2	+2	4	1	1	0	4	2	WD
6	2	+2	4	1	1	0	3	1	DW
7	2	+1	4	1	1	0	2	1	DW
8	2	+3	3	1	0	1	7	4	LW
9	1	+3	3	1	0	0	3	0	W
10	2	+1	3	1	0	1	5	4	WL
11	2	0	3	1	0	1	2	2	WL
12	2	-2	3	1	0	1	4	6	LW
13	2	0	2	0	2	0	4	4	DD
14	2	-1	1	0	1	1	2	3	DL
···
15	2	-1	1	0	1	1	2	3	DL
16	2	-2	0	0	0	2	2	4	LL
17	1	-4	0	0	0	1	0	4	L
18	2	-4	0	0	0	2	0	4	LL
19	2	-5	0	0	0	2	1	6	LL
20	2	-5	0	0	0	2	0	5	LL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Aston Villa4-2-3-1

CoachUnai Emery

Arsenal4-2-3-1

CoachMikel Arteta

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Aston Villa

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful7

Arsenal

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful5

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
12 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
12 matches
12 matches

CardsCards

42 matches
41 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Player statistics

Aston Villa

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

See all (11)

Arsenal

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

See all (11)

Events

29'Yellow card · FoulArsenal
46'SubstitutionArsenal
55'VARArsenal
55'GoalArsenal
59'Goal · Assist: R. CalafioriArsenal
71'SubstitutionAston Villa
71'SubstitutionAston Villa
71'SubstitutionArsenal
71'SubstitutionArsenal
78'SubstitutionAston Villa
78'SubstitutionAston Villa
79'SubstitutionArsenal
80'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa
81'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa
85'SubstitutionArsenal
90+6'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa

See all (16)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Aston VillaArsenal

0Shots on target2

7Shots7

17Fouls↓6

2Corners4

39%Possession61%

3Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.31Expected goals1.05

5Shots off target4

2Blocked shots1

3Shots inside the box5

4Shots outside the box2

0Offsides8

0Goals prevented0

Passing

81%Pass accuracy88%

337Passes528

272Accurate passes463

Defence

1Saves0

Recent formPremier League

Aston Villa

LWWDL

vs Brighton0–4L
vs Manchester City2–1W
vs Liverpool4–2W
vs Burnley2–2D
vs Tottenham1–2L

Arsenal

WWWWW

vs Coventry3–0W
vs Crystal Palace2–1W
vs Burnley1–0W
vs West Ham1–0W
vs Fulham3–0W

Head-to-head

L0–1last month
W4–110 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 19
W2–110 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 15

RecordAston Villa · 2W · 0D · 1L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

31 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Villa Park
City: Birmingham
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Capacity: 42,824
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

0 - 1

EPL Monday, 31 August 2026 · 21:00 Villa Park, Birmingham

PickArsenalAway win
Estimated probability64%

HT0-0
55'0-1
59'0-2B. SakaArsenalAssist · R. Calafiori

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Arsenal wins

Best odds

1xBet1.56

Matchbook1.56

Betsson1.52

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe league-form data and squad information have not been officially confirmed.
RiskReported absences and suspensions are contradictory across sources.
RiskAston Villa’s full lineup is not detailed sufficiently.

View more data

RiskSeveral important departures and Ollie Watkins’s situation may alter the assessment of Villa.
RiskThe recent preparation of both teams is inconsistent in the series provided.
Invalidation conditionCancel any absence-related analysis if the official lineups and medical statuses contradict the information provided.
Invalidation conditionCancel the valeur assessment if the market baseline or odds change significantly before kickoff.
Invalidation conditionCancel any conclusion based on league form if the unconfirmed data is not validated.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Arsenal: two wins, one draw and two defeats in the une autre source series provided; another preview indicates 10 points from 15 (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat), with no official confirmation mentioned.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 00:31 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	2	+4	6	2	0	0	6	2	WW
2	2	+3	6	2	0	0	3	0	WW
3	2	+2	6	2	0	0	7	5	WW
4	2	+3	4	1	1	0	4	1	DW
5	2	+2	4	1	1	0	4	2	WD
6	2	+2	4	1	1	0	3	1	DW
7	2	+1	4	1	1	0	2	1	DW
8	2	+3	3	1	0	1	7	4	LW
9	1	+3	3	1	0	0	3	0	W
10	2	+1	3	1	0	1	5	4	WL
11	2	0	3	1	0	1	2	2	WL
12	2	-2	3	1	0	1	4	6	LW
13	2	0	2	0	2	0	4	4	DD
14	2	-1	1	0	1	1	2	3	DL
···
15	2	-1	1	0	1	1	2	3	DL
16	2	-2	0	0	0	2	2	4	LL
17	1	-4	0	0	0	1	0	4	L
18	2	-4	0	0	0	2	0	4	LL
19	2	-5	0	0	0	2	1	6	LL
20	2	-5	0	0	0	2	0	5	LL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Aston Villa4-2-3-1

CoachUnai Emery

Arsenal4-2-3-1

CoachMikel Arteta

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Aston Villa

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful7

Arsenal

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful5

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
12 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
12 matches
12 matches

CardsCards

42 matches
41 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Player statistics

Aston Villa

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

See all (11)

Arsenal

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

See all (11)

Events

29'Yellow card · FoulArsenal
46'SubstitutionArsenal
55'VARArsenal
55'GoalArsenal
59'Goal · Assist: R. CalafioriArsenal
71'SubstitutionAston Villa
71'SubstitutionAston Villa
71'SubstitutionArsenal
71'SubstitutionArsenal
78'SubstitutionAston Villa
78'SubstitutionAston Villa
79'SubstitutionArsenal
80'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa
81'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa
85'SubstitutionArsenal
90+6'Yellow card · FoulAston Villa

See all (16)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Aston VillaArsenal

0Shots on target2

7Shots7

17Fouls↓6

2Corners4

39%Possession61%

3Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.31Expected goals1.05

5Shots off target4

2Blocked shots1

3Shots inside the box5

4Shots outside the box2

0Offsides8

0Goals prevented0

Passing

81%Pass accuracy88%

337Passes528

272Accurate passes463

Defence

1Saves0

Recent formPremier League

Aston Villa

LWWDL

vs Brighton0–4L
vs Manchester City2–1W
vs Liverpool4–2W
vs Burnley2–2D
vs Tottenham1–2L

Arsenal

WWWWW

vs Coventry3–0W
vs Crystal Palace2–1W
vs Burnley1–0W
vs West Ham1–0W
vs Fulham3–0W

Head-to-head

L0–1last month
W4–110 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 19
W2–110 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 15

RecordAston Villa · 2W · 0D · 1L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

31 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Villa Park
City: Birmingham
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Capacity: 42,824
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
7	—	—	—	78	0
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	90	0
5.6	—	—	2	90	1
6.9	—	—	—	90	0
7.3	—	—	—	78	0
6	—	—	2	90	1
6.3	—	—	1	90	0
6.3	—	—	—	71	0
7	—	—	—	71	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.9	—	0	—	—	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	—	79	0
7.3	—	0	—	1	90	0
7.9	—	1	—	1	90	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	85	0
7.2	—	0	—	—	71	0
7.9	1	0	1	2	90	0
6.9	—	0	—	1	71	0
6.2	—	0	—	—	45	1
6.2	—	0	1	1	90	0