Manchester City wins
Archived odds 1.60
Best odds
Bet3651.60
Bet3651.60
Betclic1.60
Bwin1.58Archived odds
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AstonVilla
ManchesterCity
Timestamped proof
Manchester City wins
Archived odds 1.60
Bet3651.60Betclic1.60Bwin1.58Archived odds
Prediction: Manchester City · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 57.4 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Manchester City · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 57.4 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Aston Villa conceded a 2-2 home draw against Brentford on 10 October 2026, after a late equalizer. Manchester City won 3-0 at Liverpool on 11 October 2026.
The available table places City first with 18 points from six matches and Villa 16th with five points from six matches, but the exact update date is not displayed. Partial archives mention other results, without making it possible to establish a complete run or compare xG, shots, or pressing.
In 2025/26, Aston Villa beat Manchester City 1-0 at Villa Park in October 2025, then City won 2-1 at the Etihad in May 2026. The previous result at Villa Park may support home confidence, but its prédictive valeur remains limited because the squads, injuries, and league-position context have changed.
Scenario favorable to Manchester City: its perfect start, recent victory at Liverpool and position at the top of the table support the hypothesis of better control of possession and an ability to punish Villa’s turnovers. Scenario favorable to Aston Villa: home advantage, transitions and set pieces can exploit the spaces left by City, particularly if Villa regains players or City undergoes rotation.
Villa’s vulnerability late in matches is noted following Brentford’s late goal, but this is not sufficient to prove a structural weakness. The data retained do not consistently document chances, pressing or shots.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +12 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | +6 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 7 | +18 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 7 | +4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | WWLDL | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | WLWDW | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | LDWDD | |
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | DLDWD | |
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | LDWDD | |
| 9 | 8 | -4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | DLWLW | |
| 10 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | LDLDD | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | LLWLD | |
| 12 | 7 | -4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWLD | |
| 13 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | DDDLD | |
| 14 | 7 | -8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | LWDLW | |
| 15 | 7 | -4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | WLLDD | |
| 16 | 7 | -4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | WDLDD | |
| 17 | 8 | -4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | DLLLW | |
| 18 | 7 | -8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | LWWLL | |
| 19 | 7 | -3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | WLDDL | |
| 20 | 7 | -8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | LLLLD |
CoachUnai Emery
CoachE. Maresca
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Aston VillaManchester City
RecordAston Villa · 2W · 0D · 1L
