Atlético Madrid wins
Archived odds 1.25
Archived odds
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AtléticoMadrid

Deportivo
Timestamped proof
Atlético Madrid wins
Archived odds 1.25
Archived odds
Prediction: Atlético Madrid · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 81.8 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Atlético Madrid · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 81.8 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Atlético lost 0-3 at Athletic Club on September 5, then won 3-0 at Real Sociedad on September 13, 4-0 against Osasuna on September 16, 2-1 against Real Madrid on September 20, and 2-1 at Alavés on October 10. It also defeated Manchester United 2-0 at home on October 13.
Deportivo won 3-2 at Villarreal on September 5, then drew 1-1 at Getafe on September 13, lost 0-1 against Sevilla on September 16, drew 1-1 against Betis on September 20, and drew 1-1 against Levante on October 16 at Riazor. The match page shows 16 goals scored and 7 conceded for Atlético, compared with 10 and 8 for Deportivo, but only seven matches played by each team, making the standings and comparison partial.
No comparable xG, shot volume, or pressing indicator over a homogeneous period has been established.
The recent head-to-head identified is Deportivo 0-1 Atlético in the Copa del Rey, on January 13, 2026, at Riazor. This low-scoring match belonged to a different competition and was played in a different context, with potentially different lineups; its prédictive valeur for this La Liga match is therefore limited.
No other recent La Liga head-to-head is confirmed.
No complete, dated official list of absentees or suspended players has been confirmed. The current status of Oblak, Atlético’s centre-backs and main forwards remains unknown.
On 30 September, Lorenzo Amatucci was still struggling with an adductor issue and Noé Carrillo had resumed team training, but this information does not make it possible to conclude whether they will be available on 24 October.
Atlético are expected to seek territorial dominance, use the flanks and accelerate after regaining possession, supported by the Metropolitano and a favourable recent run. Deportivo could respond with a mid-block, direct play in a 4-4-2, second balls and transitions towards Yeremay or Nsongo Bil.
Contrary scenario: significant rotation after the trip to Stuttgart on 20 October, turnovers during the first phase of buildup or a drop in tempo could open spaces behind Atlético’s full-backs and give greater weight to Deportivo’s transitions and set pieces. However, rotation, absences and this schedule cannot yet be confirmed as decisive factors.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +30 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 9 | +11 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | +14 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | WWLWW | |
| 4 | 9 | +2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | LWDWW | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | WWWLW | |
| 6 | 9 | -2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | LDLWW | |
| 7 | 9 | +3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | LLDLL | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | WDWDD | |
| 9 | 9 | +1 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | DLDLD | |
| 10 | 9 | -8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | WLDLL | |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | WDDLL | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | DLWWL | |
| 13 | 8 | -1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | LDDD | |
| 14 | 8 | -5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | DDWL | |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | DLWLD | |
| 16 | 9 | -1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | LDLLW | |
| 17 | 9 | -12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | LDLLW | |
| 18 | 9 | -6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | DDWLD | |
| 19 | 9 | -9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | DDLWL | |
| 20 | 9 | -12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | LDLLD |
CoachD. Simeone
CoachAntonio Hidalgo
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 67 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Atlético MadridDeportivo
RecordAtlético Madrid · 1W · 0D · 2L