Azerbaïdjan – Lituanie

Recent form · Written before the match

UEFA Nations League 2026/27 league-phase match, Group D2, Matchday 4, on 4 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC (15:00 CET), in Baku at the 8-ci km Stadium, after the match was moved from Ganja. Lithuania are top with 4 points after two matches; Azerbaijan have 1 point after one match.

Documented results: Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein on 1 October, Lithuania 3-0 Andorra on 30 September according to its federation, Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania on 24 September, and Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan on 27 September. Lithuania therefore have better recent raw results, but Azerbaijan have home advantage.

The last five comparable matches, xG, shots, and comparable pressing data are not documented.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Documented head-to-heads: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan on September 27, 2026; Lithuania 1-2 Azerbaijan in a friendly on June 26, 1998; Lithuania 1-0 Azerbaijan on March 26, 2008. The 1-1 is the only recent precedent, but its prédictive valeur is limited by the four days separating the matches, the reversal of home advantage, and lineups likely to change.

The 1998 and 2008 matches are very old and of little relevance to this matchup.

Absences and returns

No individual absence, suspension, or injury was confirmed by a federation source consulted before the cutoff. Match sheets do not yet make it possible to identify the starters or any potential rotations.

Context & news

Azerbaijan can benefit from home advantage in Baku, its 1-1 draw in Lithuania, and a plausible low or mid-block plan followed by transitions; its 0-0 draw against Liechtenstein suggests an ability to limit goals conceded, without proving offensive dominance. Conversely: Lithuania, unbeaten in its two group matches and top of the table with 4 points, may impose a high press, exploit the flanks or spaces behind the full-backs, and capitalize on a chance or a set piece.

None of the reports consulted documents these mechanisms, set pieces, shots, or the quality of chances precisely. An Azerbaijani rotation is plausible after three matches in eight days, but remains hypothetical.