CoachV. Kompany
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BayernMunich

1. FCMagdeburg
Marcelito prediction
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Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.
Read the full analysisBayern won all five DFB-Pokal results recorded in the context, scoring 14 goals and conceding 3, but this run is spread out and does not constitute consistent recent form. Magdeburg won three of its four recorded matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4.
These records mainly concern the cup and do not allow for a reliable comparison of the level of opposition, rest, travel, or the teams' current level. Bayern were also coming off a 7-0 win against Union Berlin, communicated on 8 October, but this information was already outdated at the time of the analysis.
No xG, comparable shooting metric, or pressing data is retained.
The recent previous meeting mentioned is the 2000/01 DFB-Pokal: Magdeburg eliminated Bayern 5-3 on penalties after extra time, at home. Two European matches from 1974/75 are also mentioned, won by Bayern on aggregate over the two legs.
These results illustrate the existence of a historic victoire surprise, but their prédictive valeur is low: squads, coaches, divisions, and context have changed.
Jamal Musiala was undergoing individual training on October 8 after a right thigh muscle tear; his return to team training and availability on October 28 are unconfirmed. Bayern and Magdeburg’s absences and suspensions, as well as the goalkeepers’ status, had not been established as of October 20.
The favorable scenario for Bayern rests on home advantage, their status as defending champions, and the priority placed on the cup expressed by Vincent Kompany on October 8. The opposing scenario rests on a single match, the pressure exerted in Munich, and Magdeburg’s ability to defend deep before exploiting transitions or set pieces; the club also stated that it wanted to cause an victoire surprise.
However, the current tactical mechanisms are not documented by compatible recent data.
CoachV. Kompany
CoachP. Sander
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Bayern Munich1. FC Magdeburg