Under 2.5 goals
Archived odds
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Bulgarie
EstonieMi-temps : 0–0
Timestamped proof
Under 2.5 goals
Archived odds
Bulgaria benefits from home advantage in Plovdiv, the main concrete factor in its favor, but the analysis remains heavily limited by the absence of a verified ranking, first-day results, official lineups, and comparable tactical metrics.
Read the full analysisBulgaria benefits from home advantage in Plovdiv, the main concrete factor in its favor, but the analysis remains heavily limited by the absence of a verified ranking, first-day results, official lineups, and comparable tactical metrics. Estonia arrives with seven announced medical absences, although their collective impact cannot be quantified.
Bulgaria recorded two wins, one draw, and one defeat among the results listed before the match: 2-2 in Moldova on June 5, 2026, 0-1 at home against Montenegro on June 1, then 1-0 in Indonesia and 10-2 in the Solomon Islands in March. Estonia drew 0-0 in Rwanda and won 1-0 in Kenya in March, after a 4-2 win in Cyprus and a 1-4 defeat in Norway in November 2025.
These lists come from Sky Sports, but they do not allow comparison of chance quality: no xG, shot volume, or consistent pressing indicator is available. The rest and travel preceding the match remain unknown, as they depend in particular on the first day on September 26.
No recent head-to-head meeting with a sufficiently verified score and date was found in the selected pages. Any older meeting would in any case be a limited signal, as the squads, coaches, and competitive context may have changed.
On 15 September 2026, Estonia announced the medical absences of Rauno Sappinen, Vlasiy Sinyavskiy, Vladislav Kreida, Kristo Hussar, Marten-Chris Paalberg, Tony Varjund and Nikita Mihhailov. Rocco Robert Shein is not joining the national team at his request, and Soufian Gouram asked to remain at his club.
The Bulgarian absences are not announced in the dossier. The impact of the Estonian absences, as well as any changes after 26 September, remains unknown.
The match belongs to the league phase of the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, Group C4, Matchday 2, involving Iceland and Luxembourg. It is scheduled for 29 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC at Hristo Botev Stadium in Plovdiv, with Bulgaria genuinely playing at home.
Favorable scenario for Bulgaria: the venue may support higher territorial pressure, but no data confirms a specific advantage in progression, transitions, box defending, or set pieces. Favorable scenario for Estonia: a deeper block and transitions could exploit the spaces of a Bulgaria advancing at home, but this reading remains hypothetical and unsupported by recent metrics.
The standings, points, and precise mathematical stakes are unknown.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 1263 | 90 | |
| 122 | 1147 | 122 |
CoachA. Dimitrov
CoachJ. Henn
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
BulgarieEstonie
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.