Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.26
Archived odds
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Corinthians

Mirassol

Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.26
Archived odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 75.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 75.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Corinthians is probably coming off a 3-2 defeat against Vasco and has not won any of its last ten Brasileirão matches according to the reported record: one draw, nine defeats, 10 goals scored and 22 conceded. Mirassol is probably coming off a 1-1 draw against São Paulo.
The opponents, dates, venues, rest periods and travel for the entire sequence are not sufficiently documented; no reliable comparison of xG, shots or pressing is available.
The four mentioned head-to-head meetings are: May 4, 2026, Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians, Brasileirão; October 5, 2025, Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol, Brasileirão; May 10, 2025, Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians, Brasileirão; March 2, 2025, Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol, Paulista A1. These precedents indicate mixed results, but their relevance is limited because the squads, coaches, stakes and venues may have changed.
No medical absence or suspension has been confirmed by a club, the federation, or a press conference. The actual status of the goalkeepers and starters remains to be verified.
Corinthians can rely on home advantage and a possible reaction after a very negative run; if the probable lineup is maintained, its central attacking players could support a proactive approach at home. Conversely, Mirassol can exploit transitions and the pressure weighing on Corinthians, especially if the reported defensive frailty is repeated.
The quality of the chances, defensive structures, and set pieces are not documented precisely enough to strongly favor either scenario. Corinthians is probably 18th with 33 points and Mirassol probably 15th with 37 points, according to the reported standings.
The published probable lineups place Hugo Souza in goal for Corinthians, with Matheuzinho, Gustavo Henrique, André Ramalho, Angileri, Matheus Bidu, Breno Bidon, Garro, Dieguinho, Kaio César and Yuri Alberto. Mirassol is announced with Walter, Reinaldo, Daniel Borges, João Victor, Igor Formiga, Denilson, Neto Moura, Eduardo, Alesson, Edson Carioca and Bruno Santos.
The official lineups had not been announced before the deadline.
Pending