Prediction Danemark – Portugal: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Danemark

Ligue des nations · InternationalSeason 2026

Full time

2 – 4

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · 20:45

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Portugal

PickPlus de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability56%

13'0-1João CanceloPortugalAssist · Gonçalo Ramos
23'1-1Mikkel DamsgaardDenmarkAssist · Joakim Maehle
25'1-2Gonçalo RamosPortugalAssist · Bruno Fernandes
HT1-2
53'2-2Rasmus HojlundDenmarkAssist · Mikkel Damsgaard
67'2-3VitinhaPortugalAssist · Bruno Fernandes
87'2-4Joao FelixPortugalAssist · Diogo Dalot

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Over 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.75

Pinnacle1.71

Bet3651.67

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskOfficial lineups, goalkeepers and starters still unknown.
RiskAlbert Grønbæk’s absence confirmed, with severity and replacement unspecified.
RiskShort schedule: Denmark plays Wales on 27 September and Portugal travels to Norway on the same day.

View more data

RiskAdditional absences, suspensions and possible rotation not verified.
RiskNo compatible data available on xG, shots, pressing, and chance quality.
RiskRecent head-to-head encounters not documented with a verifiable date and score.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup confirms significant rotation or an additional withdrawal for one of the two teams.
Invalidation conditionThe starting goalkeeper or major absences announced after the matches on 27 September alter the initial assessment.
Invalidation conditionA change of venue or schedule is confirmed before kickoff.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Portugal arrive with three points and a 1–0 win, while Denmark benefit from Parken but are coming off a 3–2 defeat and have lost Albert Grønbæk for the remainder of the window.

Read the full analysis

Portugal arrive with three points and a 1-0 win, while Denmark benefit from Parken but are coming off a 3-2 defeat and have lost Albert Grønbæk for the remainder of the window. The main opposing factor is therefore Denmark’s home advantage versus Portugal’s better points situation.

The decisive limitation is the absence of lineups, confirmed goalkeepers, and compatible metrics on the quality of play.

Recent form · Written before the match

Denmark lost 3-2 in Norway on 24 September 2026, after trailing 0-2 and then coming back to 2-2 before Norway’s goal in the 74th minute. They host Wales on 27 September, three days before Portugal.

Portugal beat Wales 1-0 on 24 September, then must travel to Norway on 27 September before coming to Copenhagen on 1 October, with the same three-day interval between its two previous matches before this encounter. Sky Sports’ older archives are incomplete and contradict the official schedule; they do not make it possible to establish a reliable recent run.

xG, shots and pressing: information unavailable for a compatible period and provider.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The selected sources and the provided context document no recent Denmark-Portugal confrontation with a verifiable date, season, and score. The cache contains no history, and the file indicates that the precedent from the 2024/25 season cannot be assessed without a verified source.

The prédictive valeur of the head-to-head record therefore remains unavailable information, particularly without confirmed details about the squads and coaches involved.

Absences and returns

Albert Grønbæk is confirmed unavailable for the remainder of the Nations League window following an injury announced by Brian Riemer on 24 September 2026; its severity and his exact replacement are unknown. Rui Silva and Gonçalo Inácio appear in the Portuguese squad list of 25 players published on 18 September 2026, confirming their call-up but not their starting status.

Other absences, suspensions, goalkeepers, and uncertain starters are unavailable information.

Context & news

Group A4 comprises Portugal, Denmark, Norway and Wales, in a six-match home-and-away phase. After the first matchday, Norway and Portugal have three points with a goal difference of +1, while Denmark and Wales have zero points with a goal difference of -1.

Scenario favorable to Denmark: Parken, its ability to come back from 0-2 against Norway and Portugal’s potential fatigue after Norway may compensate for Grønbæk’s absence. Scenario favorable to Portugal: its three points, its 1-0 victory and a largely unchanged team may neutralize the home advantage, especially if Denmark suffers further absences.

No precise mechanism of progression, transitions, box defending or set pieces is sufficiently documented to be asserted.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final10 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 02:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	21	1620	21
	5	1808	5

LineupsStarting XI

Danemark4-2-3-1

CoachB. Riemer

Portugal4-2-3-1

CoachJorge Jesus

Full squad

Bench

Danemark

Substitutes12

Portugal

Substitutes12

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

32 matches
32 matches
32 matches
32 matches
22 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

21 matches
22 matches
22 matches
11 matches
11 matches

CardsCards

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Player statistics

Danemark

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.05	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.06	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.24	0	0	0	0	90	0
5.86	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.65	0	1	1	2	80	0
6.5	0	0	0	2	74	0
6.57	0	0	0	1	90	0
5.27	0	0	0	0	46	0
8.71	1	1	1	2	85	0
6	0	0	0	1	90	1
7.75	1	0	1	2	90	0

See all (11)

Portugal

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.18	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.85	1	0	1	1	63	0
6.75	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.22	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.47	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.37	0	0	2	2	90	1
7.91	1	0	2	3	90	0
6.31	0	0	0	2	81	0
8.6	0	2	1	1	92	0
6.98	0	0	1	2	63	0
8.76	1	1	2	6	81	0

See all (11)

Events

13'Goal · Assist: Gonçalo RamosPortugal
23'Goal · Assist: Joakim MaehleDanemark
25'Goal · Assist: Bruno FernandesPortugal
45'SubstitutionDanemark
53'Goal · Assist: Mikkel DamsgaardDanemark
63'SubstitutionPortugal
63'SubstitutionPortugal
67'Goal · Assist: Bruno FernandesPortugal
68'Yellow card · DissentPortugal
74'SubstitutionDanemark
79'Yellow card · FoulDanemark
80'SubstitutionDanemark
81'SubstitutionPortugal
81'SubstitutionPortugal
82'Yellow card · FoulPortugal
85'SubstitutionDanemark
87'Goal · Assist: Diogo DalotPortugal
90+2'SubstitutionPortugal

See all (18)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

DanemarkPortugal

3Shots on target10

7Saves1

12Shots19

1Yellow cards↓1

4Corners7

6Fouls↓12

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

5Shots inside the box13

7Shots outside the box6

3Blocked shots5

6Shots off target4

2Offsides2

Passing

54%Possession46%

456Accurate passes374

526Passes449

Discipline

11Free kicks6

Recent formUEFA Nations League

Danemark

vs Wales2–0W
vs Norway2–3L

Portugal

vs Norway2–1W
vs Wales1–0W

Head-to-head

W5–223 Mar 2025 · UEFA Nations League · Quarter-finals
W1–020 Mar 2025 · UEFA Nations League · Quarter-finals
L2–313 Jun 2012 · Euro Championship · Group stage - 2

RecordDanemark · 2W · 0D · 1L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

1 October ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Stadium: Nature Energy Park
City: Odense
Referee: Mikola Balakin
Capacity: 15,790
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Danemark

Ligue des nations · InternationalSeason 2026

Full time

2 – 4

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · 20:45

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Portugal

PickPlus de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability56%

13'0-1João CanceloPortugalAssist · Gonçalo Ramos
23'1-1Mikkel DamsgaardDenmarkAssist · Joakim Maehle
25'1-2Gonçalo RamosPortugalAssist · Bruno Fernandes
HT1-2
53'2-2Rasmus HojlundDenmarkAssist · Mikkel Damsgaard
67'2-3VitinhaPortugalAssist · Bruno Fernandes
87'2-4Joao FelixPortugalAssist · Diogo Dalot

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Over 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.75

Pinnacle1.71

Bet3651.67

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskOfficial lineups, goalkeepers and starters still unknown.
RiskAlbert Grønbæk’s absence confirmed, with severity and replacement unspecified.
RiskShort schedule: Denmark plays Wales on 27 September and Portugal travels to Norway on the same day.

View more data

RiskAdditional absences, suspensions and possible rotation not verified.
RiskNo compatible data available on xG, shots, pressing, and chance quality.
RiskRecent head-to-head encounters not documented with a verifiable date and score.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup confirms significant rotation or an additional withdrawal for one of the two teams.
Invalidation conditionThe starting goalkeeper or major absences announced after the matches on 27 September alter the initial assessment.
Invalidation conditionA change of venue or schedule is confirmed before kickoff.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Portugal arrive with three points and a 1–0 win, while Denmark benefit from Parken but are coming off a 3–2 defeat and have lost Albert Grønbæk for the remainder of the window.

Read the full analysis

The decisive limitation is the absence of lineups, confirmed goalkeepers, and compatible metrics on the quality of play.

Recent form · Written before the match

Denmark lost 3-2 in Norway on 24 September 2026, after trailing 0-2 and then coming back to 2-2 before Norway’s goal in the 74th minute. They host Wales on 27 September, three days before Portugal.

xG, shots and pressing: information unavailable for a compatible period and provider.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The prédictive valeur of the head-to-head record therefore remains unavailable information, particularly without confirmed details about the squads and coaches involved.

Absences and returns

Other absences, suspensions, goalkeepers, and uncertain starters are unavailable information.

Context & news

No precise mechanism of progression, transitions, box defending or set pieces is sufficiently documented to be asserted.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final10 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 02:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	21	1620	21
	5	1808	5

LineupsStarting XI

Danemark4-2-3-1

CoachB. Riemer

Portugal4-2-3-1

CoachJorge Jesus

Full squad

Bench

Danemark

Substitutes12

Portugal

Substitutes12

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

32 matches
32 matches
32 matches
32 matches
22 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

21 matches
22 matches
22 matches
11 matches
11 matches

CardsCards

22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Player statistics

Danemark

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.05	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.06	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.24	0	0	0	0	90	0
5.86	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.65	0	1	1	2	80	0
6.5	0	0	0	2	74	0
6.57	0	0	0	1	90	0
5.27	0	0	0	0	46	0
8.71	1	1	1	2	85	0
6	0	0	0	1	90	1
7.75	1	0	1	2	90	0

See all (11)

Portugal

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.18	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.85	1	0	1	1	63	0
6.75	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.22	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.47	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.37	0	0	2	2	90	1
7.91	1	0	2	3	90	0
6.31	0	0	0	2	81	0
8.6	0	2	1	1	92	0
6.98	0	0	1	2	63	0
8.76	1	1	2	6	81	0

See all (11)

Events

13'Goal · Assist: Gonçalo RamosPortugal
23'Goal · Assist: Joakim MaehleDanemark
25'Goal · Assist: Bruno FernandesPortugal
45'SubstitutionDanemark
53'Goal · Assist: Mikkel DamsgaardDanemark
63'SubstitutionPortugal
63'SubstitutionPortugal
67'Goal · Assist: Bruno FernandesPortugal
68'Yellow card · DissentPortugal
74'SubstitutionDanemark
79'Yellow card · FoulDanemark
80'SubstitutionDanemark
81'SubstitutionPortugal
81'SubstitutionPortugal
82'Yellow card · FoulPortugal
85'SubstitutionDanemark
87'Goal · Assist: Diogo DalotPortugal
90+2'SubstitutionPortugal

See all (18)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

DanemarkPortugal

3Shots on target10

7Saves1

12Shots19

1Yellow cards↓1

4Corners7

6Fouls↓12

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

5Shots inside the box13

7Shots outside the box6

3Blocked shots5

6Shots off target4

2Offsides2

Passing

54%Possession46%

456Accurate passes374

526Passes449

Discipline

11Free kicks6

Recent formUEFA Nations League

Danemark

vs Wales2–0W
vs Norway2–3L

Portugal

vs Norway2–1W
vs Wales1–0W

Head-to-head

W5–223 Mar 2025 · UEFA Nations League · Quarter-finals
W1–020 Mar 2025 · UEFA Nations League · Quarter-finals
L2–313 Jun 2012 · Euro Championship · Group stage - 2

RecordDanemark · 2W · 0D · 1L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

1 October ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Stadium: Nature Energy Park
City: Odense
Referee: Mikola Balakin
Capacity: 15,790
Surface: Natural grass

All our results