Over 1.5 goals
Best odds
Pinnacle1.21
Pinnacle1.21
1xBet1.16Archived odds
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Dunkerque
Metz
Timestamped proof
Over 1.5 goals
Pinnacle1.211xBet1.16Archived odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 82.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 82.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Dunkerque are coming off a 3-2 win at Nantes on 17 October, following two defeats, one win and one draw in the four preceding matches. Metz beat Sochaux 3-2 in their last outing, but had previously lost 2-4 at Dijon; their other recent results mentioned are a draw against Saint-Étienne, a defeat to Red Star and a win against Rodez.
These results are described as probable, while the detailed possession, shots and xG statistics are not retained due to a lack of verifiable provenance. Metz are 7th with 13 points and Dunkerque 10th with 11 points after nine matchdays, a probable league table consulted on 23 October.
The stakes are limited to Dunkerque closing the gap and Metz consolidating their position in the top half of the table.
The documented recent head-to-head matches are: Metz 1-0 Dunkerque on 17 May 2025 in Ligue 2; Dunkerque 2-3 Metz on 15 March 2025 in Ligue 2; Metz 2-0 Dunkerque on 9 December 2024 in Ligue 2; Dunkerque 2-4 Metz on 7 January 2018 in the Coupe de France. The three Ligue 2 matches from 2024-2025 historically favor Metz, but their prédictive valeur is limited by changes in squads, coaches and context.
The 2018 precedent is too old to be given priority.
No comprehensive official list of absentees was found. BeFoot reports Duarte, Mangondo, Nampalys Mendy, Pandore and Marchal as possible absences for Metz, without definitive confirmation from the club.
For Dunkerque, no comprehensive list of absences has been confirmed, and only lineup uncertainties have been reported. Suspensions and last-minute withdrawals remain unknown.
Favorable scenario for Dunkirk: at home and buoyed by its victory in Nantes, the team could exploit spaces in Metz’s défense through quick transitions behind the center-forward if its 4-2-3-1 is confirmed. Metz’s 2-4 defeat at Dijon supports this possibility, but remains probable information.
Favorable scenario for Metz: its higher league position and three goals against Sochaux suggest an attacking threat, with Savanier and Deminguet likely to find Fall between the lines according to journalistic reports. This plan would be strengthened if Dunkirk reproduces its defensive difficulties, which are nevertheless not independently confirmed.
No verifiable advantage has been established regarding set pieces, penalty-area defending, or pressing.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +14 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | WWDLW | |
| 2 | 9 | +6 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | WWDWL | |
| 3 | 9 | +8 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 11 | WDDWD | |
| 4 | 9 | +2 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | LWWWW | |
| 5 | 9 | +3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | WWWLL | |
| 6 | 9 | +2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | WWWLD | |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | WLDLW | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | LWLLW | |
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | LWWWD | |
| 10 | 9 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | WLLWD | |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | LDDWD | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | WDLDD | |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | LLLWD | |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | LDWLW | |
| 15 | 9 | -7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | LLDWL | |
| 16 | 9 | -3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 12 | DLDDD | |
| 17 | 9 | -7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 9 | -7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | DLDLL |
CoachAlbert Sánchez
CoachGrégory Proment
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
DunkerqueMetz
RecordDunkerque · 2W · 0D · 1L
