Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
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AngleterreTimestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
England come into this with three group wins in their four documented matches, including a 2–0 win against Czechia in Prague and a 7–0 win in Croatia. At Wembley, their individual advantage and attacking transitions are the main favorable mechanism.
Read the full analysisEngland come into this with three group wins in their four documented matches, including a 2-0 win against Czechia in Prague and a 7-0 win in Croatia. At Wembley, their individual advantage and attacking transitions are the main favorable mechanism.
The decisive limitation remains uncertainty over the lineups, goalkeepers, and the effect of two matches played three days apart.
In the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, England beat Spain 2-3 at Wembley on 26 September, Czechia 2-0 in Prague on 29 September, then Croatia 7-0 in Rijeka on 3 October. Czechia lost 1-2 to Croatia on 26 September, 0-2 to England on 29 September, and 1-3 to Spain on 3 October.
Both teams are therefore coming off a match played three days earlier, with England traveling from Croatia and Czechia from Spain. No xG, comparable shot volume, or sufficiently documented pressing indicator is included.
The most recent documented meeting is Czechia 0-2 England, on 29 September 2026, in this same group stage. The pages consulted also mention England-Czechia 2-2 in 2008 and the Czech victory 2-1 in 2019.
These older precedents have limited prédictive relevance because of changes in squads, coaches, and context.
Ezri Konsa and Alex Scott were ruled out on 5 October and returned to their clubs for assessment; Rico Lewis was added to the squad on 4 October. Tino Livramento, Kobbie Mainoo, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford and Declan Rice had been reported ruled out on 21 September, but their exact status as of 6 October was not reassessed in the source consulted.
The final status of the other players remains unknown.
Favorable scenario for England: they can rely on their two recent victories against Czechia, their 7-0 win in Croatia, the home advantage at Wembley and a potential individual superiority in the wide areas and attacking transitions. Opposing scenario: fatigue from two matches in three days and a reshuffled England line-up could reduce this advantage, while a cleaner Czechia in its own box and more efficient in transition could prolong the match.
The full standings and the exact mathematical consequences for qualification have not been established.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form | FIFA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | WWW | — | |
| 2 | 3 | +8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | WWL | 4 | |
| 3 | 3 | -9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | LLW | — | |
| 4 | 3 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | LLL | — |
Indicative eleven drawn from the squad: this match’s line-ups are not in our archives.
Eleven from the previous match, against Croatia on 3 October 2026
CoachT. Tuchel
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
AngleterreRépublique tchèque
RecordAngleterre · 1W · 0D · 2L