France wins
Price at publication 1.47
Bet3651.45
Pinnacle1.44
1xBet1.44Archived odds
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This content was machine-translated from the French version.
France
Italie
Timestamped proof
France wins
Price at publication 1.47
Bet3651.45Pinnacle1.441xBet1.44Archived odds
France host Italy at the Stade de France on matchday 3 of the 2026-2027 Nations League. Home advantage and the two verifiable French results favor Les Bleus, but the confirmed absence of Kylian Mbappé and the beginning of the Zidane era make the attacking setup uncertain.
Read the full analysisFrance host Italy at the Stade de France on matchday 3 of the 2026-2027 Nations League. Home advantage and the two verifiable French results favor Les Bleus, but the confirmed absence of Kylian Mbappé and the beginning of the Zidane era make the attacking setup uncertain.
The decisive limitation is the absence of announced lineups and goalkeepers.
France: 1-0 victory against Turkey on September 25, then a result against Belgium on September 28 not confirmed in this dossier. Italy: defeat against Belgium on September 25, then a 4-1 victory in Turkey on September 28, featuring goals from Bastoni, Frattesi, Kayode and Pio Esposito.
Both teams play on September 25, 28 and October 2; Italy arrive after traveling to Bursa, while France return from Belgium. No comparable and sufficiently documented xG is available.
The FFF mentions Italy 1-3 France on November 17, 2024 and France 1-3 Italy on September 6, 2024. These recent encounters provide direct context, but their prédictive valeur is limited because the coaches, squads and circumstances have changed.
Kylian Mbappé is announced absent for France-Italy due to a knee tendon issue, a fact from September 25 reported by Le Monde on September 26. Warren Zaïre-Emery was replaced in the French squad by Maghnes Akliouche due to an injury, according to PSG on September 22.
Last-minute Italian absences, suspensions and the precise condition of the other players have not been established.
France can rely on the Stade de France, a 1-0 victory against Turkey and a défense that did not concede a goal in that match. A favorable scenario for Les Bleus would be increased control of the ball and the use of connections between the midfield and the creative players, notably Manu Koné, Rayan Cherki and Michael Olise, identified as influential in the first match by Le Monde.
Opposite scenario: Italy responded with a 4-1 win in Turkey and can exploit transitions after regaining possession, especially if France has to reorganize its attack without Mbappé. However, this victory does not automatically prove the same effectiveness at Saint-Denis, while the travel and Italian defensive uncertainty weigh in the other direction.
The exact standings after the 2e matchday and the precise consequences for qualification remain unknown.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1959 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1713 | 15 |
CoachZ. Zidane
CoachR. Mancini
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 80 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
FranceItalie
RecordFrance · 1W · 0D · 2L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.