Prediction Genoa – Napoli: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

0 - 2

Serie A Saturday, 22 August 2026 · 20:45 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

PickGenoa +0.5
Estimated probability48%

HT0-0
82'0-1K. De BruyneNapoliAssist · A. Vergara
87'0-2A. VergaraNapoliAssist · K. De Bruyne

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoLost

Genoa +0.5

Best odds

Matchbook2.08

Pinnacle2.07

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe lineups and starting elevens are not yet confirmed.
RiskThe verified recent form of both teams is not available.
RiskThe actual impact of the three reported injuries on Napoli's side will depend on their availability and role.

View more data

RiskKickoff times vary according to some sources, even though 8:45 PM local time is also indicated.
Invalidation conditionVoid if the official lineups reveal a major absence not reflected by the odds.
Invalidation conditionVoid if the Napoli players reported injured are ultimately all fit and the market shifts strongly in favor of Napoli.
Invalidation conditionVoid if new information substantially alters the context of the match.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Napoli arrive as favorites for this first matchday in Genoa, with an advantage confirmed by recent head-to-head encounters, but three injuries reported on the Neapolitan side and the lack of verified recent form limit the certainty of the analysis.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

No verified recent form in the league is available, as the 2026-2027 season has not yet started.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Napoli is unbeaten in the last four recorded head-to-head encounters, with three wins and one draw. The provided historical record is 24 wins for Napoli, 15 draws, and 8 wins for Genoa.

Absences and returns

Napoli: Billy Gilmour is injured in the knee with a return expected in mid-August 2026; Stanislav Lobotka and Alisson Santos suffer from muscle injuries of indefinite duration. No Genoa player is reported unavailable and no suspensions are mentioned.

Context & news

The match is announced as the first matchday of Serie A 2026-2027 at the Luigi Ferraris stadium. Napoli, runner-up the previous season according to the dossier, will start away.

The indicated local times agree at 8:45 PM, while no recent detailed tactical preview is available.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final8 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 12:40 UTC

Standings

Standings available after matchday 1

LineupsStarting XI

Genoa3-4-2-1

CoachDaniele De Rossi

Napoli4-3-3

CoachMassimiliano Allegri

Full squad

Bench

Genoa

Substitutes13

Napoli

Substitutes13

Player statistics

Genoa

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

See all (11)

Napoli

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

See all (11)

Events

-5'Yellow cardGenoa
-5'Yellow cardGenoa
54'Yellow card · FoulNapoli
66'SubstitutionGenoa
66'SubstitutionGenoa
66'SubstitutionNapoli
67'SubstitutionNapoli
67'SubstitutionNapoli
74'SubstitutionGenoa
75'SubstitutionGenoa
78'SubstitutionNapoli
81'SubstitutionNapoli
82'Goal · Assist: A. VergaraNapoli
87'SubstitutionGenoa
87'Goal · Assist: K. De BruyneNapoli

See all (15)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

GenoaNapoli

2Shots on target4

11Shots13

10Fouls↓8

5Corners5

46%Possession54%

2Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.67Expected goals0.77

4Shots off target4

5Blocked shots5

7Shots inside the box4

4Shots outside the box9

1Offsides2

0.02Goals prevented0.02

Passing

88%Pass accuracy89%

431Passes507

378Accurate passes453

Defence

2Saves2

Head-to-head

L0–22 months ago
L2–38 months ago · Serie A · Regular Season - 24
W2–15 Oct 2025 · Serie A · Regular Season - 6

RecordGenoa · 1W · 0D · 2L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

22 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

0 - 2

Serie A Saturday, 22 August 2026 · 20:45 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

PickGenoa +0.5
Estimated probability48%

HT0-0
82'0-1K. De BruyneNapoliAssist · A. Vergara
87'0-2A. VergaraNapoliAssist · K. De Bruyne

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoLost

Genoa +0.5

Best odds

Matchbook2.08

Pinnacle2.07

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe lineups and starting elevens are not yet confirmed.
RiskThe verified recent form of both teams is not available.
RiskThe actual impact of the three reported injuries on Napoli's side will depend on their availability and role.

View more data

RiskKickoff times vary according to some sources, even though 8:45 PM local time is also indicated.
Invalidation conditionVoid if the official lineups reveal a major absence not reflected by the odds.
Invalidation conditionVoid if the Napoli players reported injured are ultimately all fit and the market shifts strongly in favor of Napoli.
Invalidation conditionVoid if new information substantially alters the context of the match.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

No verified recent form in the league is available, as the 2026-2027 season has not yet started.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Napoli is unbeaten in the last four recorded head-to-head encounters, with three wins and one draw. The provided historical record is 24 wins for Napoli, 15 draws, and 8 wins for Genoa.

Absences and returns

Context & news

The match is announced as the first matchday of Serie A 2026-2027 at the Luigi Ferraris stadium. Napoli, runner-up the previous season according to the dossier, will start away.

The indicated local times agree at 8:45 PM, while no recent detailed tactical preview is available.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final8 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 12:40 UTC

Standings

Standings available after matchday 1

LineupsStarting XI

Genoa3-4-2-1

CoachDaniele De Rossi

Napoli4-3-3

CoachMassimiliano Allegri

Full squad

Bench

Genoa

Substitutes13

Napoli

Substitutes13

Player statistics

Genoa

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

See all (11)

Napoli

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

See all (11)

Events

-5'Yellow cardGenoa
-5'Yellow cardGenoa
54'Yellow card · FoulNapoli
66'SubstitutionGenoa
66'SubstitutionGenoa
66'SubstitutionNapoli
67'SubstitutionNapoli
67'SubstitutionNapoli
74'SubstitutionGenoa
75'SubstitutionGenoa
78'SubstitutionNapoli
81'SubstitutionNapoli
82'Goal · Assist: A. VergaraNapoli
87'SubstitutionGenoa
87'Goal · Assist: K. De BruyneNapoli

See all (15)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

GenoaNapoli

2Shots on target4

11Shots13

10Fouls↓8

5Corners5

46%Possession54%

2Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.67Expected goals0.77

4Shots off target4

5Blocked shots5

7Shots inside the box4

4Shots outside the box9

1Offsides2

0.02Goals prevented0.02

Passing

88%Pass accuracy89%

431Passes507

378Accurate passes453

Defence

2Saves2

Head-to-head

L0–22 months ago
L2–38 months ago · Serie A · Regular Season - 24
W2–15 Oct 2025 · Serie A · Regular Season - 6

RecordGenoa · 1W · 0D · 2L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

22 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy

All our results

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
6.9	—	—	—	1	64
7	—	—	1	1	64
6.9	—	—	—	—	64
6.6	—	—	—	—	64
5.9	—	—	1	3	64
6.5	—	—	—	—	64

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.2	—	—	—	—	64	0
7.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.6	—	—	1	1	64	0
6.5	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.9	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.7	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	1
6.3	—	—	—	—	64	0
6.3	—	—	—	2	64	0