Prediction Géorgie – Irlande du Nord: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

Loading match details…

MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Géorgie

Ligue des nations · InternationalSeason 2026

Full time

0 – 1

Friday, 25 September 2026 · 18:00

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi

Irlande duNord

PickMoins de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability55%

HT0-0
90+9'0-1Shea CharlesNorthern IrelandAssist · Trai Hume

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Under 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.75

Betsson1.70

PMU1.64

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe starting lineups and goalkeeper have not been confirmed.
RiskThe complete list of absentees and suspensions is not available.
RiskAdvanced performance, shots, xG and pressing data have not been verified.

View more data

RiskThe exact rest periods and travel preceding the match are not fully documented.
RiskThe relevance of the previous head-to-head is very limited due to how old it is.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup confirms the absence of Kvaratskhelia, Mikautadze or Mamardashvili.
Invalidation conditionThe match is relocated or played at a neutral venue.
Invalidation conditionLast-minute medical information reveals the absence of a Georgian starter.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup shows that the planned 4-3-3 is not the structure adopted.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Read the full analysis

Georgia benefit from home advantage in Tbilisi and attacking potential around Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze, but this assessment relies on an unconfirmed lineup and no verified recent data on shots, chances, or xG. Northern Ireland can reduce this advantage through a compact structure, transitions, and set pieces.

The decisive limitation is the uncertainty surrounding the starters, goalkeeper, and Georgian absences.

Recent form · Written before the match

Northern Ireland lost 1-3 to France on 8 June 2026, beat Guinea 1-0 on 4 June, drew 1-1 with Wales on 31 March, and lost 0-2 to Italy on 26 March, according to the Northern Irish federation. Georgia are reported to have won 2-0 against Bahrain on 5 June, drawn 1-1 with Romania on 2 June, won 2-0 in Lithuania on 29 March, and drawn 2-2 with Israel on 26 March, according to Sky Sports, with particular caution because this source is not a federation.

The quality of the opponents, chances, shots, xG, exact rest period, and immediate travel do not make it possible to establish a quantified form advantage.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The documented previous meeting is Northern Ireland’s 4-1 friendly win against Georgia on 26 March 2008, according to 11v11. This result is very old, and its prédictive valeur is limited by changes in the squads, coaches, and context.

No recent meeting between these teams is documented in the pages consulted.

Absences and returns

Jamie McDonnell is confirmed to be absent from the Northern Ireland squad due to a hamstring injury sustained the previous weekend, according to Michael O’Neill. Paddy McNair is included in the squad after recovering from a foot injury.

Georgia has called up 27 players, including debutant Otar Mamageishvili. No official lineup, suspension, or complete list of absentees had been confirmed by the cutoff time.

Any last-minute Georgian unavailability remains information unavailable.

Context & news

Georgia are playing at home, in a first group match with no prior standings or first-leg score. Georgian scenario: if the 4-3-3 is used and Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze play, attacks down the flanks and transitions could have an impact.

Northern Irish scenario: a compact team capable of defending its box, playing directly and exploiting set pieces could neutralize Georgian possession or dribbling. These tactical mechanisms remain hypotheses, as no verified pre-match statistics make it possible to quantify them.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final7 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 14:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	74	1346	74
	64	1384	64

LineupsStarting XI

Géorgie3-4-2-1

CoachW. Sagnol

Irlande du Nord3-4-2-1

CoachM. O'Neill

Full squad

Bench

Géorgie

Substitutes12

Irlande du Nord

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Géorgie

Rating	SoT	Shots	Min
7.45	0	0	90	0
6.45	0	0	85	0
6.61	0	0	90	0
6.95	0	1	85	0
5.38	0	0	90	0
7.13	0	0	90	0
6.47	0	1	77	0
6.11	0	0	45	0
6.4	1	1	77	0
6.14	2	4	90	0
6.64	1	1	90	1

See all (11)

Irlande du Nord

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.88	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.18	0	0	0	0	86	0
6.13	0	0	0	0	95	1
6.34	0	0	0	0	72	1
7.7	0	1	2	2	90	0
8.2	1	0	2	5	90	0
6.62	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.77	0	0	0	0	90	1
6.49	0	0	0	0	73	0
6.95	0	0	1	3	90	0
6.39	0	0	0	1	73	0

See all (11)

Events

45'SubstitutionGéorgie
63'VARGéorgie
64'Yellow card · FoulIrlande du Nord
65'Missed penaltyGéorgie
67'Yellow card · FoulIrlande du Nord
72'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
73'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
73'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
77'SubstitutionGéorgie
77'SubstitutionGéorgie
85'SubstitutionGéorgie
85'SubstitutionGéorgie
86'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
90+5'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
90+5'Yellow cardGéorgie
90+5'Yellow cardIrlande du Nord
90+9'Goal · Assist: Trai HumeIrlande du Nord

See all (17)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

GéorgieIrlande du Nord

5Shots on target5

4Saves4

11Shots12

1Yellow cards↓3

9Corners1

13Fouls↓14

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

7Shots inside the box3

4Shots outside the box9

3Blocked shots4

3Shots off target3

0Offsides3

Passing

62%Possession38%

514Accurate passes292

582Passes355

Discipline

12Free kicks11

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

25 September ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Venue: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Referee: Orel Grinfeld

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Géorgie

Ligue des nations · InternationalSeason 2026

Full time

0 – 1

Friday, 25 September 2026 · 18:00

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi

Irlande duNord

PickMoins de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability55%

HT0-0
90+9'0-1Shea CharlesNorthern IrelandAssist · Trai Hume

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Under 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.75

Betsson1.70

PMU1.64

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe starting lineups and goalkeeper have not been confirmed.
RiskThe complete list of absentees and suspensions is not available.
RiskAdvanced performance, shots, xG and pressing data have not been verified.

View more data

RiskThe exact rest periods and travel preceding the match are not fully documented.
RiskThe relevance of the previous head-to-head is very limited due to how old it is.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup confirms the absence of Kvaratskhelia, Mikautadze or Mamardashvili.
Invalidation conditionThe match is relocated or played at a neutral venue.
Invalidation conditionLast-minute medical information reveals the absence of a Georgian starter.
Invalidation conditionThe official lineup shows that the planned 4-3-3 is not the structure adopted.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Read the full analysis

The decisive limitation is the uncertainty surrounding the starters, goalkeeper, and Georgian absences.

Recent form · Written before the match

The quality of the opponents, chances, shots, xG, exact rest period, and immediate travel do not make it possible to establish a quantified form advantage.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

No recent meeting between these teams is documented in the pages consulted.

Absences and returns

Georgia has called up 27 players, including debutant Otar Mamageishvili. No official lineup, suspension, or complete list of absentees had been confirmed by the cutoff time.

Any last-minute Georgian unavailability remains information unavailable.

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final7 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 14:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	74	1346	74
	64	1384	64

LineupsStarting XI

Géorgie3-4-2-1

CoachW. Sagnol

Irlande du Nord3-4-2-1

CoachM. O'Neill

Full squad

Bench

Géorgie

Substitutes12

Irlande du Nord

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Géorgie

Rating	SoT	Shots	Min
7.45	0	0	90	0
6.45	0	0	85	0
6.61	0	0	90	0
6.95	0	1	85	0
5.38	0	0	90	0
7.13	0	0	90	0
6.47	0	1	77	0
6.11	0	0	45	0
6.4	1	1	77	0
6.14	2	4	90	0
6.64	1	1	90	1

See all (11)

Irlande du Nord

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.88	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.18	0	0	0	0	86	0
6.13	0	0	0	0	95	1
6.34	0	0	0	0	72	1
7.7	0	1	2	2	90	0
8.2	1	0	2	5	90	0
6.62	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.77	0	0	0	0	90	1
6.49	0	0	0	0	73	0
6.95	0	0	1	3	90	0
6.39	0	0	0	1	73	0

See all (11)

Events

45'SubstitutionGéorgie
63'VARGéorgie
64'Yellow card · FoulIrlande du Nord
65'Missed penaltyGéorgie
67'Yellow card · FoulIrlande du Nord
72'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
73'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
73'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
77'SubstitutionGéorgie
77'SubstitutionGéorgie
85'SubstitutionGéorgie
85'SubstitutionGéorgie
86'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
90+5'SubstitutionIrlande du Nord
90+5'Yellow cardGéorgie
90+5'Yellow cardIrlande du Nord
90+9'Goal · Assist: Trai HumeIrlande du Nord

See all (17)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

GéorgieIrlande du Nord

5Shots on target5

4Saves4

11Shots12

1Yellow cards↓3

9Corners1

13Fouls↓14

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

7Shots inside the box3

4Shots outside the box9

3Blocked shots4

3Shots off target3

0Offsides3

Passing

62%Possession38%

514Accurate passes292

582Passes355

Discipline

12Free kicks11

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

25 September ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Venue: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Referee: Orel Grinfeld

All our results