Prediction Gremio – Atletico Paranaense: analysis, odds and forecast

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Gremio

BrasileirãoSeason 2026

First half 23'Live

0 – 0

Friday, 30 October 2026 · 01:30

Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

AtleticoParanaense

PickMoins de 3.5 buts
Projected score1–1
Estimated probability75%

Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Under 3.5 goals

Archived odds 1.30

Best odds

Unibet1.30

Bwin1.28

Winamax1.27

Archived odds

Live

Live score

First half 23'

Gremio – Atletico Paranaense · Live score
Team	Score
Gremio	0
Atletico Paranaense	0

Match tracker and confirmed lineups

Data overviewPartial data

Live6 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 00:54 UTC

Match information

Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano

LineupsStarting XI

Gremio3-4-3

Atletico Paranaense3-4-2-1

Full squad

Bench

Gremio

Substitutes12

Atletico Paranaense

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Gremio

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

See all (11)

Atletico Paranaense

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

See all (11)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

GremioAtletico Paranaense

1Shots on target2

5Shots3

3Fouls↓2

3Corners0

50%Possession50%

—Yellow cards—

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.27Expected goals0.2

2Shots off target1

2Blocked shots0

3Shots inside the box2

2Shots outside the box1

1Offsides0

0.04Goals prevented0.04

Passing

84%Pass accuracy88%

86Passes85

72Accurate passes75

Defence

2Saves1

Head-to-head

D0–05 months ago
L0–24 Aug 2024
W2–017 Apr 2024

RecordGremio · 1W · 1D · 1L

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 74.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Read the full analysis

Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 74.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Grêmio: 1-0 win at Coritiba on 26/10, after a 4-2 defeat against Cruzeiro on 18/10, a 1-1 draw against Internacional on 11/10, and a 1-1 draw at Remo on 07/10. Athletico: 1-1 draw at Vitória on 24/10, 2-0 defeat against Palmeiras on 17/10, 4-1 win at Chapecoense on 12/10, and 2-2 draw against Atlético Mineiro on 08/10.

Athletico’s recent results have been more productive offensively, but no comparable xG, shots, or pressing data is retained.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The first leg of the 2026 season ended 0-0 at Arena da Baixada. This precedent is not very prédictive: coaches, starters, and league-position context may differ. No advantage should be inferred from this result alone.

Absences and returns

Grêmio: Cristian Pavón and Diego Caito were ruled out after muscular problems against Coritiba on 26/10; Jovane Cabral, Juan Nardoni and Danilo Barbosa were also unavailable. Athletico: Kevin Viveros was doubtful after going off injured against Vitória on 24/10, with Kerwin Vargas as a possible replacement.

Athletico’s detailed suspensions and defensive absences were not confirmed.

Context & news

2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match, 33rd round, on October 30 at 00:30 UTC at Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre; Grêmio are the home team. Athletico were described as involved in the fight near the top of the table, while Grêmio were seeking to escape the relegation zone; the exact standings were not confirmed.

Grêmio scenario: Kannemann’s return and a back three could shore up the center, while João Pedro and Marlon would look to exploit the flanks. Athletico scenario: if Viveros is fit, transitions and spaces behind the wing-backs could overturn this assessment.

Viveros’s status, the official lineup and Grêmio’s system are decisive.

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Gremio

BrasileirãoSeason 2026

First half 23'Live

0 – 0

Friday, 30 October 2026 · 01:30

Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

AtleticoParanaense

PickMoins de 3.5 buts
Projected score1–1
Estimated probability75%

Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Under 3.5 goals

Archived odds 1.30

Best odds

Unibet1.30

Bwin1.28

Winamax1.27

Archived odds

Live

Live score

First half 23'

Gremio – Atletico Paranaense · Live score
Team	Score
Gremio	0
Atletico Paranaense	0

Match tracker and confirmed lineups

Data overviewPartial data

Live6 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 00:54 UTC

Match information

Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano

LineupsStarting XI

Gremio3-4-3

Atletico Paranaense3-4-2-1

Full squad

Bench

Gremio

Substitutes12

Atletico Paranaense

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Gremio

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

See all (11)

Atletico Paranaense

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

See all (11)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

GremioAtletico Paranaense

1Shots on target2

5Shots3

3Fouls↓2

3Corners0

50%Possession50%

—Yellow cards—

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

0.27Expected goals0.2

2Shots off target1

2Blocked shots0

3Shots inside the box2

2Shots outside the box1

1Offsides0

0.04Goals prevented0.04

Passing

84%Pass accuracy88%

86Passes85

72Accurate passes75

Defence

2Saves1

Head-to-head

D0–05 months ago
L0–24 Aug 2024
W2–017 Apr 2024

RecordGremio · 1W · 1D · 1L

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 74.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Read the full analysis

Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 74.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Athletico’s recent results have been more productive offensively, but no comparable xG, shots, or pressing data is retained.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Absences and returns

Athletico’s detailed suspensions and defensive absences were not confirmed.

Context & news

Viveros’s status, the official lineup and Grêmio’s system are decisive.

All our results

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

−3.5Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Live score

Match information

LineupsStarting XI

Substitutes12

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Gremio

Atletico Paranaense

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Attack

Passing

Defence

Head-to-head

Detailed analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Absences and returns

Context & news

−3.5Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Live score

Match information

LineupsStarting XI

Substitutes12

Substitutes12

Player statistics

Gremio

Atletico Paranaense

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Attack

Passing

Defence

Head-to-head

Detailed analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Absences and returns

Context & news

Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Pre-match predictionProbability 75%

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.9	—	—	—	1	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.2	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	1	1	19

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.7	—	—	—	—	19
7.2	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	1	19
6.5	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.3	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	—	—	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19
6.6	—	—	1	1	19