Genoa wins
Observed odds 2.64
Observed odds
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Lecce
Genoa
Genoa wins
Observed odds 2.64
Observed odds
Prediction: Genoa · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 34.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Genoa · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 34.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Lecce recorded, between September 13 and October 18, 2026, two wins - 3-0 at Udinese and 3-2 against Monza - as well as three defeats - 1-2 against Bologna, 0-3 at Milan and 0-1 at Cagliari - according to the club’s season page. This run is partial and does not allow the quality of the chances to be fully assessed.
The five results attributed to Genoa in the partial archives are not corroborated by an accepted source. No xG, shot volume or comparable pressing indicator has been verified.
Lecce were also scheduled to play on October 25 and 29, but the results and actual workload from those matches remain unknown.
The head-to-head results mentioned are Lecce 1-0 Genoa on May 24, 2026, Genoa 0-0 Lecce on August 23, 2025, Genoa 2-1 Lecce on March 14, 2025, Lecce 0-0 Genoa on January 5, 2025, Genoa 2-1 Lecce on January 28, 2024, and Lecce 1-0 Genoa on September 22, 2023. These results come from a secondary page, and the lineups and tactical circumstances have not been verified.
The May 24, 2026 match is the closest precedent, but its prédictive valeur remains limited by possible changes in squads, coaches, form and context.
No absence, suspension, goalkeeper unavailability, or significant injury had been confirmed before 25 October 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Any rotations related to the matches on 25 and 29 October remain hypothetical.
The favorable reading for Lecce is based on its recent 3-0 victory at Udinese and 3-2 victory against Monza, which support the hypothesis of a transition threat and an ability to exploit space, without proving repeatability or chance quality. The opposing scenario sees Genoa close the central areas, withstand the initial press, attack the space behind the full-backs, and make the difference from set pieces or second balls.
This scenario cannot be quantified because Genoa's confirmed recent performances, absences, and defensive metrics are lacking. The precise league-table stakes and points gap have not been verified.
No probable lineup or confirmed starter has been established. The coaches and starters cannot be inferred from old lineups. Lecce's home status and the stadium are confirmed; no indication of a neutral venue has been reported.
Eleven from the previous match, against Juventus on 25 October 2026
CoachE. Di Francesco
Eleven from the previous match, against Juventus on 28 October 2026
CoachD. De Rossi
Bench · Out and doubtful
LecceGenoa
RecordLecce · 2W · 1D · 0L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +15 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 9 | +15 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | +15 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | WDWDD | |
| 4 | 9 | +9 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | WWWDL | |
| 5 | 9 | +7 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | LWWDW | |
| 6 | 9 | +6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | WDLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | DWLWD | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | LWLDW | |
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | LWWWD | |
| 10 | 9 | -5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | LLLDW | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | WWLWD | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | DLWLL | |
| 13 | 9 | -5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | WWLWL | |
| 14 | 8 | -5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | LWLLW | |
| 15 | 9 | -8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | LLLDL | |
| 16 | 9 | -6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | LLWLW | |
| 17 | 9 | -9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | DLLLL | |
| 18 | 9 | -10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | DLLLW | |
| 19 | 8 | -10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | LLLDW | |
| 20 | 9 | -13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | LLWLL |