Lyon wins
Archived odds 1.77
Archived odds
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Lyon
Nice
Timestamped proof
Lyon wins
Archived odds 1.77
Archived odds
Selection: Lyon (1X2). Estimated probability: 60,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: Lyon (1X2). Estimated probability: 60,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Lyon had gone five league matches unbeaten before Lens-Lyon, information published by the LFP on 4 October 2026, and were then in second place, two points behind Monaco. The updated standings, the result of Lens-Lyon and that of Nice-Strasbourg are not established here.
Archived cache results are not retained as public confirmations. Lyon are hosting at Groupama Stadium, but their European match on 15 October may reduce their rest or lead to rotation.
Nice saw their international players return to training on 8 October, with no indication of their individual fitness.
Nice beat Lyon 3-2 on 18 October 2025 at the Allianz Riviera, on matchday 8 of Ligue 1, notably exploiting transitions after defending deep. Lyon had won 2-0 at Nice on 9 March 2025.
These recent encounters present opposing scenarios, but their prédictive valeur is limited by possible changes in squads, coaches and context.
The favorable scenario for Lyon is based on the advantage of Groupama Stadium, its verified run before matchday 6, and the possibility of targeting a Nice défense without Antoine Mendy. Lyon could also limit transitions through cautious ball progression and better defensive protection.
The opposite scenario is based on a low Nice block and attacks behind the full-backs or defensive line, a mechanism observed in the 3-2 result in 2025. The extent of Lyon’s rotation, the absence of a goalkeeper or center-back, as well as the official lineup, could reverse this assessment.
The pre-match data do not allow for a reliable comparison of pressing, chances, xG, shots, box defending, or set pieces.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | DWLWW | |
| 3 | 6 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | DWDWW | |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | WLWWW | |
| 5 | 6 | +7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | LWDWD | |
| 6 | 6 | +4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | LWDWW | |
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | WWLDL | |
| 8 | 7 | +3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | DWLLW | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | WDWDL | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | WLDWL | |
| 11 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWLDL | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | LLLDW | |
| 13 | 6 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | LWDLW | |
| 14 | 6 | +1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | WLLLL | |
| 15 | 7 | -5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | LLWDD | |
| 16 | 6 | -8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | LWWLL | |
| 17 | 7 | -11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 6 | -4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | LLDLD |
CoachPaulo Fonseca
CoachO. Pantaloni
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
LyonNice
RecordLyon · 2W · 0D · 1L