Marseille wins
Archived odds 1.43
Archived odds
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Marseille
LeHavre
Timestamped proof
Marseille wins
Archived odds 1.43
Archived odds
Prediction: Marseille · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 60.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Marseille · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 60.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
The partial observations indicate that Marseille won 2-0 at Troyes on October 11, 2026, followed by four defeats: 1-2 against Paris-SG on September 20, 0-1 at Rennes on September 11, 2-3 against Paris FC on September 6, and 0-2 at Monaco on August 30. For Le Havre, they indicate a 0-1 defeat at Lille on October 10, a 2-3 defeat at Toulouse on September 19, a 0-0 draw against Angers on September 12, a 1-2 defeat against Brest on September 5, and a 1-1 draw at Lyon on August 29.
These records are partial and do not constitute the five most recent verified matches. Ligue 1 nevertheless confirms the results Troyes-Marseille 0-2 and Lille-Le Havre 1-0.
The schedule also suggests that before this match Marseille may have played Angers and then Sturm Graz, but Le Havre’s equivalent schedule has not been verified.
The most recent documented encounter is Marseille-Le Havre, a 6-2 win for Marseille in Ligue 1 2025-2026, on October 18, 2025. Le Havre had opened the scoring and caused Marseille problems before Gautier Lloris was sent off; Marseille then took advantage of the space, with four goals from Greenwood.
This precedent illustrates possible mechanisms, but its prédictive valeur is limited by changes in squads, coaches, form, and disciplinary context.
No absent player, suspended player, unavailable goalkeeper, or starting-player injury has been confirmed. The official lineups are still awaited.
The official standings consulted probably place Marseille 17th and Le Havre 18th in Ligue 1 2026-2027, but the points, gap, and precise implications cannot be verified; the stakes therefore appear important for both teams. Favorable scenario for Marseille: at home, the team exploits transitions and space if Le Havre struggles against pressing, as suggested by the precedent of 18 October 2025.
Contrary scenario: Le Havre withstands the initial press, attacks down the flanks, and quickly finds transitions; the precedent shows that it had already troubled Marseille’s défense before the sending-off. Current data do not make it possible to confirm these mechanisms, and the available metrics are not properly comparable.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | WLWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | WWWWL | |
| 3 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | WLWDW | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | DWLWW | |
| 5 | 7 | +4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | LDWDW | |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | LWLWW | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | WWLDW | |
| 8 | 8 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | WLWWL | |
| 9 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | WWLDL | |
| 10 | 7 | +4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | WWLLL | |
| 11 | 8 | +2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | LDWLL | |
| 12 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | WDWDL | |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | WLWWL | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 7 | -6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | LLWDL | |
| 16 | 7 | -5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | LLWDD | |
| 17 | 7 | -11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | LLLDL |
CoachBruno Genesio
CoachD. Digard
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
MarseilleLe Havre
RecordMarseille · 1W · 0D · 2L