Marseille +0.5
Observed odds 1.24
Observed odds
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Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille +0.5
Observed odds 1.24
Observed odds
Prediction: Marseille +0.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 79.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Marseille +0.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 79.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
The latest verified results before the match are Marseille-Angers 5-2 on 18/10/2026, Troyes-Marseille 0-2 on 11/10/2026, and Marseille-PSG 1-2 on 20/09/2026. Toulouse drew 2-2 at Monaco on 10/10/2026, won 3-0 at Le Mans on 16/10/2026, and had beaten Le Havre 3-2 on 19/09/2026.
These records do not constitute a complete series of the last five matches. In the standings as of 23/10/2026, both teams had 9 points after 7 matches, with Marseille 10th and Toulouse 12th.
No comparable xG, shots, or pressing indicator is retained.
The recent head-to-head matches mentioned are Toulouse-Marseille 0-1 on 07/03/2026, Marseille-Toulouse 2-2 on 29/11/2025, Marseille-Toulouse 3-2 on 06/04/2025, Toulouse-Marseille 1-3 on 31/08/2024, and Toulouse-Marseille 2-2 on 21/04/2024, all in Ligue 1. These results reflect earlier contexts, and their prédictive valeur is limited because the squads, coaches, and circumstances may have changed.
No verifiable list of absentees, suspended players, unavailable goalkeepers, or uncertain starters was found before the research cutoff. The squads, press conference, and match sheets remain to be monitored.
The favorable scenario for Marseille is based on home advantage and seven goals scored in its two most recent verified wins, which may support an attacking approach, with no detailed evidence regarding pressing or transitions. The opposing scenario is based on Toulouse, unbeaten in its two most recent verified matches and capable of scoring three times away at Le Mans; its transitions could have an impact if Marseille loses possession, but this specific mechanism is not documented.
The stakes involve a direct mid-table clash between two teams on 9 points; the season objectives and rotation remain unknown.
The official lineups have not yet been published. No starting lineup can be inferred from a previous lineup.
The match is scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 20:45 French time, at CEPAC Vélodrome according to the event listing; Marseille is the actual home team, and no neutral venue is indicated.
Eleven from the previous match, against Le Havre AC on 25 October 2026
CoachBruno Genesio
Eleven from the previous match, against Troyes on 25 October 2026
CoachJens Berthel Askou
Bench
MarseilleToulouse
RecordMarseille · 0W · 1D · 2L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | +4 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | WLWLW | |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | DDWLW | |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | DLDWD | |
| 5 | 8 | +6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | LWLWD | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | LWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | WWWLD | |
| 8 | 8 | +5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | WWWLL | |
| 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | DWWLD | |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | WLWWL | |
| 11 | 8 | +1 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | DWDWD | |
| 12 | 8 | -6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | DWLWW | |
| 13 | 8 | +2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | LDWLL | |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | DLLWD | |
| 15 | 8 | -5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | DLLWD | |
| 16 | 8 | -6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | LLLLD | |
| 17 | 8 | -11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | DLLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | -7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | LLLLD |