Metz wins
Observed odds 1.95
Best odds
Bwin1.95
Bwin1.95
Pinnacle1.93
Winamax1.92Observed odds
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Metz
PAU
Metz wins
Observed odds 1.95
Bwin1.95Pinnacle1.93Winamax1.92Observed odds
Prediction: Metz · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 49.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Metz · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 49.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Metz lost 4-2 at Dijon on 12 October 2026, then beat Sochaux 3-2 at home on 17 October. Pau won 3-2 against Laval on 9 October, then 2-1 at Guingamp on 16 October.
These records do not constitute a complete run of the last five matches and do not allow the quality of chances to be compared: no comparable xG, consolidated shot volume, or reliable pressing indicator is available.
The documented recent head-to-head is Pau 2-1 Metz, on 26 April 2025, in Ligue 2, during the 2024-2025 season. This match was played in Pau and concerns different squads, coaching staffs, and dynamics; its prédictive valeur is therefore limited.
No other sufficiently verifiable recent head-to-head was retained.
No confirmed absence or suspension was found. The starting goalkeeper and doubtful starters are unknown; this lack of information should not be equated with a full squad.
Favorable scenario for Metz: the home advantage at Saint-Symphorien and the 3-2 win against Sochaux could help Metz exploit transitions and space after losing possession, while Pau conceded two goals at Guingamp. Favorable scenario for Pau: its two wins against Laval and Guingamp suggest recent attacking efficiency and an ability to travel; Pau could exploit transitions and set pieces, especially if Metz confirms defensive absences or significant rotation.
The standings, exact stakes, and first-leg score are not confirmed.
The official lineups have not been announced. No reliable probable lineup was found.
Rotation related to the schedule remains an assumption and should not be considered a fact. Kickoff time to be confirmed, as times may be changed by the LFP.
Eleven from the previous match, against Dunkerque on 23 October 2026
CoachGrégory Proment
Eleven from the previous match, against Grenoble on 23 October 2026
CoachThierry Debes
Bench
MetzPAU
RecordMetz · 1W · 2D · 0L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +15 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | WWWDL | |
| 2 | 10 | +7 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 10 | +4 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 10 | +8 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | DWDDW | |
| 5 | 10 | +3 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 10 | +1 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | LLWWW | |
| 7 | 10 | +2 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | WLWLL | |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 14 | DWLDL | |
| 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | LLWWW | |
| 10 | 10 | -2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | DWLLW | |
| 11 | 10 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | WLLLW | |
| 12 | 10 | -4 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12 | LLDDW | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 7 | DWDLD | |
| 14 | 10 | -6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | WLLLL | |
| 15 | 10 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | LLDWL | |
| 16 | 10 | -8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | LLLDW | |
| 17 | 10 | -5 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | LDLDD | |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | LDLDL |
