Under 3.5 goals
Observed odds 1.23
Best odds
Bwin1.23
Bwin1.23
Unibet1.22
PMU1.19Observed odds
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RayoVallecano
CeltaVigo
Under 3.5 goals
Observed odds 1.23
Bwin1.23Unibet1.22PMU1.19Observed odds
Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 78.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 78.6 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Rayo are coming off a 1-1 draw at Getafe on October 19, 2026, following documented results including a 3-2 win against Racing Santander, a 1-4 loss at Real Madrid, a 2-1 win against Espanyol, and a 1-1 draw at Osasuna. Celta drew 0-0 at Elche on October 11, where they initially came under pressure before improving after halftime.
The match against Alavés on October 18 and a complete series of the last five matches have not been directly verified; xG, shots, and pressing statistics are therefore not used.
No usable list of recent Rayo-Celta head-to-head meetings with date, season, and score is documented in the pages consulted. This does not make it possible to conclude that no meetings took place.
Older encounters would in any case have limited relevance if the coaches, squads, and goalkeepers have changed.
Celta's medical bulletin of October 21, 2026 confirms a left adductor injury for Álvaro Núñez, estimated at approximately four weeks, a left soleus injury for Borja Iglesias, estimated at approximately six weeks, a muscle injury for Carl Starfelt with individual training, and rehabilitation for Miguel Román after arthroscopy. Andrei Radu started at Elche on October 11, with no confirmation for Rayo.
Rayo's absences, suspensions, and starters, notably Luiz Felipe's status, have not been established.
Scenario favorable to Rayo: its quick transitions can attack spaces at home, while its corners offer a set-piece threat; the absences of Borja Iglesias and Carl Starfelt could complicate matters for Celta. Scenario favorable to Celta: a compact block, as at Elche, followed by attacks after regaining possession can exploit the spaces left by Rayo's forward runs, especially if Rayo does not retain its advantage after scoring.
The exact standings have not been verified; Celta's schedule mentions a match against Betis on October 25 and a European match on November 5, but the effect on rotation remains hypothetical.
The lineups, starting goalkeeper, and substitutes have not been announced for this match. Rayo are indeed hosting Celta in La Liga, matchday 11, at the Estadio de Vallecas; Rayo are the actual home side, and no neutral venue is indicated.
The announced time is October 31, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, but the LaLiga page also displays November 1.
Eleven from the previous match, against Elche on 24 October 2026
CoachBeñat San José
Eleven from the previous match, against Real Betis on 25 October 2026
CoachClaudio Giráldez
Bench
Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
RecordRayo Vallecano · 1W · 1D · 1L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +29 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | +12 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | +15 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 10 | +2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | DLWDW | |
| 5 | 10 | +1 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | WLDLW | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | DLLDL | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | WLDD | |
| 9 | 10 | +3 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | DWDWD | |
| 10 | 10 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | WDLWW | |
| 11 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | LDLDL | |
| 12 | 10 | -10 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | LWLDL | |
| 13 | 10 | -11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | WLDLL | |
| 14 | 10 | -3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | LWDDL | |
| 15 | 10 | -3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | WDDWL | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | LDDW | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | LDLWL | |
| 18 | 10 | -2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | LLDLL | |
| 19 | 10 | -10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | LDDLW | |
| 20 | 10 | -12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | DLDLL |
