Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
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RBLeipzig
EintrachtFrankfurt
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
Leipzig has home advantage and a counter-pressing profile that could disrupt Frankfurt, but the assessment remains limited by uncertainty over the official lineup and by the announced attacking absences.
Read the full analysisLeipzig has home advantage and a counter-pressing profile that could disrupt Frankfurt, but the assessment remains limited by uncertainty over the official lineup and by the announced attacking absences.
Before the match, Leipzig had 6 points after 4 matchdays, compared with 5 for Frankfurt. Leipzig had won 3-0 against Mönchengladbach on 29 August, lost 1-3 in Bremen on 5 September, won 5-0 against Hamburg on 13 September, then lost 0-2 in Leverkusen on 20 September.
Frankfurt had won 3-1 in Mainz on 12 September, then drawn 2-2 against Freiburg on 19 September. Both teams were returning from a long international break, and Frankfurt had not played in the Bundesliga for three weeks.
Comparable data on shots, xG, and pressing are not sufficiently documented to establish a consistent comparison.
Leipzig beat Frankfurt 3-1 in Frankfurt on 18 April 2026 in the 2025/26 Bundesliga. Frankfurt had won 1-0 in Leipzig in January 2024, with a goal from Ansgar Knauff.
The 3-1 is the most recent precedent, but the coaches and squads have changed; the 2024 1-0 is older and should not be given priority. The historical record mentioned by Frankfurt also indicates only one Leipzig defeat in its previous ten home matches against Frankfurt, although that record is not sufficient to predict this match.
Leipzig’s favorable scenario is based on dominant possession, build-up through the center-backs, fast wingers, and aggressive counter-pressing; at home, Leipzig had won their first two matches of the season 3-0 and then 5-0 without conceding. Frankfurt can reverse this dynamic by keeping a compact block in both width and depth, resisting immediate regains, and attacking the spaces behind Leipzig’s full-backs.
However, this second scenario depends on collective discipline and the lineup that is actually fielded. The stakes are to move closer to the top of the table after a start deemed insufficient by both clubs, which have changed coaches and reshaped their squads.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | WWDW | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | DWWW | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | DWDWL | |
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | LDWW | |
| 6 | 4 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | WDWL | |
| 7 | 4 | +4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | WLWD | |
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | DLWW | |
| 9 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | LWLW | |
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | DWLD | |
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DWDL | |
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | WLLD | |
| 13 | 4 | -3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | LDLW | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | LWLL | |
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | LLWL | |
| 16 | 4 | -11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | WLLL | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | LLLD | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | LLLL |
CoachM. Demichelis
CoachA. Hütter
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 64 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
RecordRB Leipzig · 2W · 0D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.