Prediction RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

RBLeipzig

Bundesliga · GermanySeason 2026

Full time

4 – 0

Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 15:30

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

SVElversberg

PickRB LeipzigHome win
Estimated probability74%

HT0-0
48'1-0Tidiam GomisRB LeipzigAssist · Antonio Nusa
66'2-0Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzRB LeipzigAssist · Antonio Nusa
84'3-0Christoph BaumgartnerRB LeipzigAssist · Brajan Gruda
90+4'4-0Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzRB LeipzigAssist · Abdoul Kone

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

RB Leipzig wins

Archived odds 1.50

Best odds

Winamax1.50

Unibet1.48

Bwin1.47

Archived odds

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Prediction: RB Leipzig · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 73.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Read the full analysis

Prediction: RB Leipzig · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 73.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Leipzig lost 1-6 at Bayern Munich on October 17 in the Bundesliga, then 1-4 at Real Madrid on October 21 in the Champions League. At home in the league, Leipzig had previously won its first three matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding none.

Elversberg beat Augsburg 4-3 on October 17 and had 10 points after six matchdays. The club had won its first two Bundesliga matches, but the full sequence, venues, and comparative quality of the chances are not fully documented.

Elversberg had also scored in each of its last two away matches without scoring. The cached advanced statistics are not used, due to a lack of consistent corroboration from the selected sources.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The two previous documented meetings date back to the 2013/14 3. Liga: Elversberg 1-0 Leipzig on September 7, 2013, then Leipzig 2-0 Elversberg on March 2, 2014.

Their prédictive valeur is limited: more than twelve years have passed, and the squads, coaches, and level of competition have changed.

Context & news

The favorable scenario for Leipzig is based on its domestic performance, forward aggression, and the possibility of an intense start after two heavy away defeats. The opposing scenario is based on the passivity observed in Munich, fatigue after Madrid on October 21, and rotation that would reduce coordination; Elversberg could then exploit transitions and set pieces after its 4-3 victory against Augsburg.

The stakes are limited to matchday 7 of the league: no knockout, qualification, or first leg is involved. The precise standings remain uncertain, although Elversberg was credited with 10 points after six matchdays.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 05:34 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+17	14	4	2	0	22	5	WDWWD
2	6	+7	14	4	2	0	11	4	DDWWW
3	5	+10	13	4	1	0	14	4	WDWWW
4	5	+6	10	3	1	1	14	8	WWDWL
5	6	+4	10	3	1	2	14	10	WLWLW
6	6	+1	10	3	1	2	12	11	WLDLW
7	6	+5	9	3	0	3	16	11	LWLWL
8	6	0	9	2	3	1	12	12	DDWDW
9	6	-9	9	3	0	3	6	15	WWWLL
10	6	+4	8	2	2	2	16	12	LDLDW
11	6	-6	8	2	2	2	10	16	WLDWL
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	8	11	LWLDL
13	6	-2	6	2	0	4	8	10	LWLLW
14	6	-3	5	1	2	3	4	7	LLDWD
15	6	-4	5	1	2	3	5	9	DLWLL
16	6	-12	5	1	2	3	5	17	DWLLL
17	5	-4	3	1	0	4	9	13	LLWLL
18	5	-11	0	0	0	5	7	18	LLLLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

RB Leipzig4-5-1

CoachM. Demichelis

SV Elversberg4-2-3-1

CoachV. Wagner

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

RB Leipzig

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful2

SV Elversberg

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful5

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

56 matches
55 matches
45 matches
45 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

45 matches
35 matches
35 matches
35 matches
35 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
45 matches
35 matches
35 matches
34 matches

Player statistics

RB Leipzig

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.64	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.3	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.77	0	0	0	1	90	0
7.64	0	0	0	1	90	0
7.17	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.1	0	0	0	0	46	0
6.48	0	0	0	0	62	1
7.11	0	0	0	2	90	0
6.51	0	0	0	0	72	0
8.44	0	2	0	1	72	0
7.87	1	0	2	3	87	0

See all (11)

SV Elversberg

Rating	SoT	Shots	Min
5.55	0	0	90	0
5.74	0	0	59	0
5.94	0	0	90	0
6.02	0	0	90	0
5.35	0	0	82	1
6.47	0	0	90	0
6.39	0	1	90	0
6.31	0	1	90	0
5.72	0	1	71	0
5.64	0	1	59	0
6.83	1	1	71	0

See all (11)

Events

45'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
48'Goal · Assist: Antonio NusaRB Leipzig
59'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
59'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
59'Yellow card · FoulRB Leipzig
62'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
66'Goal · Assist: Antonio NusaRB Leipzig
71'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
71'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
72'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
72'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
74'Yellow card · FoulSV Elversberg
82'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
84'Goal · Assist: Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig
87'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
90+4'Goal · Assist: Abdoul KoneRB Leipzig

See all (16)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

RB LeipzigSV Elversberg

2.28Expected goals0.68

6Shots on target1

1Saves2

13Shots5

1Yellow cards↓1

4Corners6

10Fouls↓18

All statistics (17)

Attack

11Shots inside the box3

2Shots outside the box2

1Blocked shots0

6Shots off target4

0Offsides1

Passing

55%Possession45%

403Accurate passes321

487Passes394

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

17Free kicks10

Recent formBundesliga

RB Leipzig

LWLWL

vs Bayern München1–6L
vs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0W
vs Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
vs Hamburger SV5–0W
vs Werder Bremen1–3L

SV Elversberg

WLDLW

vs FC Augsburg4–3W
vs Union Berlin0–1L
vs FC Schalke 040–0D
vs Bayern München1–2L
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W

Head-to-head

W2–02 Mar 2014 · 3. Liga · Regular Season - 27
W1–07 Sept 2013 · 3. Liga · Regular Season - 8

RecordRB Leipzig · 2W · 0D · 0L

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Stadium: Red Bull Arena
City: Leipzig
Capacity: 47,800
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

RBLeipzig

Bundesliga · GermanySeason 2026

Full time

4 – 0

Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 15:30

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

SVElversberg

PickRB LeipzigHome win
Estimated probability74%

HT0-0
48'1-0Tidiam GomisRB LeipzigAssist · Antonio Nusa
66'2-0Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzRB LeipzigAssist · Antonio Nusa
84'3-0Christoph BaumgartnerRB LeipzigAssist · Brajan Gruda
90+4'4-0Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzRB LeipzigAssist · Abdoul Kone

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

RB Leipzig wins

Archived odds 1.50

Best odds

Winamax1.50

Unibet1.48

Bwin1.47

Archived odds

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Prediction: RB Leipzig · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 73.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Read the full analysis

Prediction: RB Leipzig · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 73.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Elversberg had also scored in each of its last two away matches without scoring. The cached advanced statistics are not used, due to a lack of consistent corroboration from the selected sources.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The two previous documented meetings date back to the 2013/14 3. Liga: Elversberg 1-0 Leipzig on September 7, 2013, then Leipzig 2-0 Elversberg on March 2, 2014.

Their prédictive valeur is limited: more than twelve years have passed, and the squads, coaches, and level of competition have changed.

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 05:34 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+17	14	4	2	0	22	5	WDWWD
2	6	+7	14	4	2	0	11	4	DDWWW
3	5	+10	13	4	1	0	14	4	WDWWW
4	5	+6	10	3	1	1	14	8	WWDWL
5	6	+4	10	3	1	2	14	10	WLWLW
6	6	+1	10	3	1	2	12	11	WLDLW
7	6	+5	9	3	0	3	16	11	LWLWL
8	6	0	9	2	3	1	12	12	DDWDW
9	6	-9	9	3	0	3	6	15	WWWLL
10	6	+4	8	2	2	2	16	12	LDLDW
11	6	-6	8	2	2	2	10	16	WLDWL
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	8	11	LWLDL
13	6	-2	6	2	0	4	8	10	LWLLW
14	6	-3	5	1	2	3	4	7	LLDWD
15	6	-4	5	1	2	3	5	9	DLWLL
16	6	-12	5	1	2	3	5	17	DWLLL
17	5	-4	3	1	0	4	9	13	LLWLL
18	5	-11	0	0	0	5	7	18	LLLLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

RB Leipzig4-5-1

CoachM. Demichelis

SV Elversberg4-2-3-1

CoachV. Wagner

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

RB Leipzig

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful2

SV Elversberg

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful5

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

56 matches
55 matches
45 matches
45 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

45 matches
35 matches
35 matches
35 matches
35 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
45 matches
35 matches
35 matches
34 matches

Player statistics

RB Leipzig

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.64	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.3	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.77	0	0	0	1	90	0
7.64	0	0	0	1	90	0
7.17	0	0	0	0	90	0
7.1	0	0	0	0	46	0
6.48	0	0	0	0	62	1
7.11	0	0	0	2	90	0
6.51	0	0	0	0	72	0
8.44	0	2	0	1	72	0
7.87	1	0	2	3	87	0

See all (11)

SV Elversberg

Rating	SoT	Shots	Min
5.55	0	0	90	0
5.74	0	0	59	0
5.94	0	0	90	0
6.02	0	0	90	0
5.35	0	0	82	1
6.47	0	0	90	0
6.39	0	1	90	0
6.31	0	1	90	0
5.72	0	1	71	0
5.64	0	1	59	0
6.83	1	1	71	0

See all (11)

Events

45'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
48'Goal · Assist: Antonio NusaRB Leipzig
59'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
59'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
59'Yellow card · FoulRB Leipzig
62'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
66'Goal · Assist: Antonio NusaRB Leipzig
71'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
71'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
72'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
72'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
74'Yellow card · FoulSV Elversberg
82'SubstitutionSV Elversberg
84'Goal · Assist: Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig
87'SubstitutionRB Leipzig
90+4'Goal · Assist: Abdoul KoneRB Leipzig

See all (16)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

RB LeipzigSV Elversberg

2.28Expected goals0.68

6Shots on target1

1Saves2

13Shots5

1Yellow cards↓1

4Corners6

10Fouls↓18

All statistics (17)

Attack

11Shots inside the box3

2Shots outside the box2

1Blocked shots0

6Shots off target4

0Offsides1

Passing

55%Possession45%

403Accurate passes321

487Passes394

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

17Free kicks10

Recent formBundesliga

RB Leipzig

LWLWL

vs Bayern München1–6L
vs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0W
vs Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
vs Hamburger SV5–0W
vs Werder Bremen1–3L

SV Elversberg

WLDLW

vs FC Augsburg4–3W
vs Union Berlin0–1L
vs FC Schalke 040–0D
vs Bayern München1–2L
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W

Head-to-head

W2–02 Mar 2014 · 3. Liga · Regular Season - 27
W1–07 Sept 2013 · 3. Liga · Regular Season - 8

RecordRB Leipzig · 2W · 0D · 0L

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Stadium: Red Bull Arena
City: Leipzig
Capacity: 47,800
Surface: Natural grass

All our results