Prediction Real Madrid – Real Sociedad: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

4 - 1

La Liga Wednesday, 26 August 2026 · 21:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

PickReal MadridHome win
Estimated probability73%

40'1-0K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · F. Valverde
44'1-1L. SucicReal Sociedad
HT1-1
60'2-1K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · J. Bellingham
68'3-1Vinicius JuniorReal MadridAssist · J. Bellingham
80'4-1K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · Vinicius Junior

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Real Madrid wins

Best odds

1xBet1.37

Bet3651.33

Unibet1.33

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe form data is based on a single league match for each team.
RiskComplete probable lineups are not sufficiently reliable or published.
RiskAbsences and recently recovered players may alter the initial assessment.

View more data

RiskThe match takes place at the start of the season and after postponements related to the international calendar.
Invalidation conditionMatch cancellation or postponement.
Invalidation conditionLineup announcements confirming significant absences not accounted for.
Invalidation conditionSignificant change in the odds or the sharp line.
Invalidation conditionNew information about injured or recently recovered players.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Real Madrid host Real Sociedad at the Santiago-Bernabéu for Matchday 1 of La Liga, with a marked market advantage for Madrid, while the full lineups have not yet been published.

Read the full analysis

Real Madrid host Real Sociedad at the Santiago-Bernabéu for Matchday 1 of La Liga, with a marked market advantage for Madrid, while the full lineups have not yet been published.

Recent form · Written before the match

Real Madrid: one win in one La Liga match, 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Real Sociedad: one defeat, no goals scored and 1 conceded. Very limited sample.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Real Madrid have won the last three listed La Liga encounters: 4-1, 2-1 and 2-0. Real Sociedad won 4-3 at the Bernabéu in the Copa del Rey in April 2025.

Overall history presented: 37 wins for Madrid, 14 for Real Sociedad and 12 draws in 63 matches.

Context & news

Match scheduled for Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:00 UTC, or 21:00 in Spain, at the Santiago-Bernabéu. The postponement of this matchday is attributed to the rest granted to internationals who played in the World Cup final.

Real Sociedad's initial match was also postponed.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final10 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 08:07 UTC

Standings

LALIGA 2026-27

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

CoachJose Mourinho

Real Sociedad4-2-3-1

CoachPellegrino Matarazzo

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Real Madrid

Substitutes12

Out and doubtful7

Real Sociedad

Substitutes12

Out and doubtful4

Squads

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Real Madrid

GK5

DEF15

MID12

FWD6

Real Sociedad

GK4

DEF11

MID11

FWD8

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
21 matches
12 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
11 matches
12 matches

CardsCards

42 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Events

10'Yellow cardReal Madrid
31'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
40'Goal · Assist: F. ValverdeReal Madrid
44'GoalReal Sociedad
45+2'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
46'SubstitutionReal Madrid
57'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
57'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
60'Goal · Assist: J. BellinghamReal Madrid
66'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
66'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
68'Goal · Assist: J. BellinghamReal Madrid
71'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
73'Yellow cardReal Madrid
74'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
78'SubstitutionReal Madrid
78'SubstitutionReal Madrid
80'Goal · Assist: Vinicius JuniorReal Madrid
84'SubstitutionReal Madrid
86'SubstitutionReal Madrid
90'VARReal Madrid
90+4'Yellow cardReal Madrid

See all (22)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Real MadridReal Sociedad

11Shots on target3

20Shots10

10Fouls↓8

4Corners7

51%Possession49%

3Yellow cards↓3

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

3.14Expected goals0.57

3Shots off target4

6Blocked shots3

14Shots inside the box7

6Shots outside the box3

1Offsides0

-0.02Goals prevented-0.02

Passing

91%Pass accuracy90%

581Passes554

531Accurate passes501

Defence

2Saves7

Recent formLa Liga

Real Madrid

WWWWL

vs Espanyol2–1W
vs Athletic Club4–2W
vs Sevilla1–0W
vs Oviedo2–0W
vs Barcelona0–2L

Real Sociedad

LDLDD

vs Real Betis0–1L
vs Espanyol1–1D
vs Valencia3–4L
vs Girona1–1D
vs Real Betis2–2D

Head-to-head

W4–12 months ago
W4–18 months ago · La Liga · Regular Season - 24
W2–113 Sept 2025 · La Liga · Regular Season - 4

RecordReal Madrid · 3W · 0D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

26 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

4 - 1

La Liga Wednesday, 26 August 2026 · 21:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

PickReal MadridHome win
Estimated probability73%

40'1-0K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · F. Valverde
44'1-1L. SucicReal Sociedad
HT1-1
60'2-1K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · J. Bellingham
68'3-1Vinicius JuniorReal MadridAssist · J. Bellingham
80'4-1K. MbappeReal MadridAssist · Vinicius Junior

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Real Madrid wins

Best odds

1xBet1.37

Bet3651.33

Unibet1.33

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe form data is based on a single league match for each team.
RiskComplete probable lineups are not sufficiently reliable or published.
RiskAbsences and recently recovered players may alter the initial assessment.

View more data

RiskThe match takes place at the start of the season and after postponements related to the international calendar.
Invalidation conditionMatch cancellation or postponement.
Invalidation conditionLineup announcements confirming significant absences not accounted for.
Invalidation conditionSignificant change in the odds or the sharp line.
Invalidation conditionNew information about injured or recently recovered players.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Real Madrid host Real Sociedad at the Santiago-Bernabéu for Matchday 1 of La Liga, with a marked market advantage for Madrid, while the full lineups have not yet been published.

Read the full analysis

Real Madrid host Real Sociedad at the Santiago-Bernabéu for Matchday 1 of La Liga, with a marked market advantage for Madrid, while the full lineups have not yet been published.

Recent form · Written before the match

Real Madrid: one win in one La Liga match, 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Real Sociedad: one defeat, no goals scored and 1 conceded. Very limited sample.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Real Madrid have won the last three listed La Liga encounters: 4-1, 2-1 and 2-0. Real Sociedad won 4-3 at the Bernabéu in the Copa del Rey in April 2025.

Overall history presented: 37 wins for Madrid, 14 for Real Sociedad and 12 draws in 63 matches.

Context & news

Real Sociedad's initial match was also postponed.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final10 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 08:07 UTC

Standings

LALIGA 2026-27

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

CoachJose Mourinho

Real Sociedad4-2-3-1

CoachPellegrino Matarazzo

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Real Madrid

Substitutes12

Out and doubtful7

Real Sociedad

Substitutes12

Out and doubtful4

Squads

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Real Madrid

GK5

DEF15

MID12

FWD6

Real Sociedad

GK4

DEF11

MID11

FWD8

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
21 matches
12 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

22 matches
22 matches
21 matches
11 matches
12 matches

CardsCards

42 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches
22 matches

Events

10'Yellow cardReal Madrid
31'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
40'Goal · Assist: F. ValverdeReal Madrid
44'GoalReal Sociedad
45+2'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
46'SubstitutionReal Madrid
57'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
57'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
60'Goal · Assist: J. BellinghamReal Madrid
66'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
66'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
68'Goal · Assist: J. BellinghamReal Madrid
71'Yellow cardReal Sociedad
73'Yellow cardReal Madrid
74'SubstitutionReal Sociedad
78'SubstitutionReal Madrid
78'SubstitutionReal Madrid
80'Goal · Assist: Vinicius JuniorReal Madrid
84'SubstitutionReal Madrid
86'SubstitutionReal Madrid
90'VARReal Madrid
90+4'Yellow cardReal Madrid

See all (22)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

Real MadridReal Sociedad

11Shots on target3

20Shots10

10Fouls↓8

4Corners7

51%Possession49%

3Yellow cards↓3

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

3.14Expected goals0.57

3Shots off target4

6Blocked shots3

14Shots inside the box7

6Shots outside the box3

1Offsides0

-0.02Goals prevented-0.02

Passing

91%Pass accuracy90%

581Passes554

531Accurate passes501

Defence

2Saves7

Recent formLa Liga

Real Madrid

WWWWL

vs Espanyol2–1W
vs Athletic Club4–2W
vs Sevilla1–0W
vs Oviedo2–0W
vs Barcelona0–2L

Real Sociedad

LDLDD

vs Real Betis0–1L
vs Espanyol1–1D
vs Valencia3–4L
vs Girona1–1D
vs Real Betis2–2D

Head-to-head

W4–12 months ago
W4–18 months ago · La Liga · Regular Season - 24
W2–113 Sept 2025 · La Liga · Regular Season - 4

RecordReal Madrid · 3W · 0D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

26 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

All our results

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	10	+1	12	3	3	4
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	10	-10	11	3	2	5
13	10	-11	11	3	2	5
14	10	-3	10	2	4	4
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	9	-8	9	2	3	4
17	10	-10	9	2	3	5
18	10	-2	8	2	2	6
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5