Sassuolo wins
Observed odds 2.72
Observed odds
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Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Sassuolo wins
Observed odds 2.72
Observed odds
Prediction: Sassuolo · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 36.3 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Sassuolo · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 36.3 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Sassuolo lost 0-2 at Como on 24/10/2026, while its most recently documented win is a 3-2 victory against Juventus on 13/09/2026, achieved after several open sequences and a late-match transition. Fiorentina lost 2-1 away at Inter on 25/10/2026 after taking the lead in the 65th minute, then conceding two goals in stoppage time.
These elements do not constitute a complete series of the latest matches: the historical cache is partial, and the effect of Sassuolo-Lazio on 27/10 and Fiorentina-Atalanta on 29/10 was not observable as of the cutoff date. No homogeneous comparison of xG, shots, or pressing is retained.
The archived head-to-head records mention Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo on 26/04/2026, Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina on 06/12/2025, Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo on 28/04/2024, and Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina on 06/01/2024. These results come from an archive that also contains an inconsistency in the classification of the head-to-head matches and are not confirmed by an independent federation source.
They concern different squads, coaches, and contexts; their prédictive valeur is therefore low.
No official match-specific list for 02/11/2026 has been established. A publication dated 23/10/2026 concerning matchday 8 listed Ismaël Koné, Pieragnolo, Boloca, Idzes, and Paz as under assessment or unavailable for Sassuolo, as well as Leysen as a long-term absentee; for Fiorentina, Parisi was absent and Atta was under assessment.
Their status on 02/11/2026 remains unconfirmed. No suspended players were indicated for matchday 8, but this does not confirm matchday 10.
Sassuolo can make use of their familiarity with the pitch, high recoveries, and space in transition, with a concrete precedent against Juventus. Fiorentina may look for transitions and long-range shots, as at San Siro, where they took the lead before conceding in stoppage time.
The opposite scenario remains plausible: Sassuolo could be punished by their defensive problems, while Fiorentina could struggle with the trip, the congested schedule, and reduced intensity. The extent of the rotation and the stakes in the standings remain unknown, as the standings page does not provide an actionable current situation.
The match is scheduled in Serie A 2026/27, matchday 10, on Monday 02/11/2026 at 18 h 30 local time, i.e. 17 h 30 UTC. Sassuolo is listed as the home team at Mapei Stadium, but operational confirmation of the exact venue, any behind-closed-doors status, or any subsequent change has not been established.
The referee, official lineups, starting goalkeepers, and starting XI have not yet been announced.
Eleven from the previous match, against Lazio on 27 October 2026
CoachA. Aquilani
Eleven from the previous match, against Inter on 25 October 2026
CoachP. Vanoli
Bench · Out and doubtful
SassuoloFiorentina
RecordSassuolo · 2W · 1D · 0L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +13 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 10 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 8 | +13 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | DWDDW | |
| 4 | 8 | +9 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | WWDWD | |
| 5 | 8 | +7 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | WWDLW | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | DWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | +3 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | WLDWL | |
| 8 | 8 | +2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | WWWDL | |
| 9 | 8 | -3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | LLDWW | |
| 10 | 8 | +3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | DLWDW | |
| 11 | 8 | -1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | DLWLL | |
| 12 | 8 | -5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 8 | -2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | WLWDL | |
| 14 | 8 | -4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | LLDLW | |
| 15 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | LWLWL | |
| 16 | 8 | -7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | WLWLD | |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | LLLDW | |
| 19 | 8 | -10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | LLLWL | |
| 20 | 8 | -11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | LWLLL |