Sevilla wins
Observed odds 2.04
Observed odds
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Sevilla
Alaves

Sevilla wins
Observed odds 2.04
Observed odds
Prediction: Sevilla · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 47 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Sevilla · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 47 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Sevilla beat Osasuna 2-0 at home on October 26, after a 1-4 defeat at Real Madrid on October 18 and a 3-3 draw at Levante on October 12. Alavés drew 1-1 against Málaga at home on October 23, then lost 1-2 at Celta on October 18 and 1-2 against Atlético on October 10.
The cache measured on October 29 also indicated 8 goals scored and 10 conceded by Sevilla over five matches, compared with 3 scored and 6 conceded for Alavés; these figures remain a degraded observation and do not allow xG, shots, or possession values to be used as comparative evidence. Sevilla were due to host Alavés after Getafe on November 1; Alavés were due to play Barcelona on October 31 and then the Copa del Rey on November 3, which could create a heavier workload, without confirming rotation.
The recent head-to-head matches mentioned are: February 14, 2026, La Liga 2025-26, Sevilla 1-1 Alavés; September 20, 2025, La Liga 2025-26, Alavés 1-2 Sevilla; April 20, 2025, La Liga 2024-25, Sevilla 1-1 Alavés; September 20, 2024, La Liga 2024-25, Alavés 2-1 Sevilla. The 1-1 draw in February 2026 is the closest precedent, but these results have limited prédictive valeur due to possible changes in context, squad, and coach.
Guridi was reported to have a left adductor injury on October 14, while Kochorashvili was training specifically; Marcao, Miguel Sierra, and Iker Muñoz were also mentioned as recovering. Guridi, Stassin, and Kochorashvili were subsequently included in the squad against Osasuna on October 25, showing a change in situation but confirming neither their availability for Alavés nor a starting role.
No officially updated information on Alavés’s injured or suspended players had been established before the cutoff.
In the scenario favorable to Sevilla, the success against Osasuna provides an example of effectiveness from individual action, transition, and set piece; home advantage and recent momentum may support this approach. In the opposite scenario, Alavés may seek direct attacks and transitions around Lucas Boyé, the team’s top scorer in the consulted LaLiga profile, and Mariano, while also taking advantage of the spaces left by a Sevilla défense that conceded four goals to Real Madrid and three to Levante.
The verified stake is positioning in the upper/mid-table, with no qualification or identified first-leg score. The cache standings-Sevilla 6th with 17 points, Alavés 7th with 12 points after 10 matchdays-remain only probable, as the consulted LaLiga page displayed contradictory values.
The match is scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 20:00 UTC at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, with Sevilla genuinely at home and no neutral venue. No official lineup or squad list for Sevilla-Alavés was available by the cutoff.
The starting goalkeeper and the uncertain starters remain unknown. The referee, VAR, and any possible later schedule change have not been established; schedule to be confirmed if the scheduling changes.
Eleven from the previous match, against Osasuna on 26 October 2026
CoachLuis García
Eleven from the previous match, against Malaga on 23 October 2026
CoachQuique Sánchez Flores
Bench
SevillaAlaves
RecordSevilla · 1W · 1D · 1L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +29 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | +12 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | +15 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 10 | +2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | DLWDW | |
| 5 | 10 | +1 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | WLDLW | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | DLLDL | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | WLDD | |
| 9 | 10 | +3 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | DWDWD | |
| 10 | 10 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | WDLWW | |
| 11 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | LDLDL | |
| 12 | 10 | -10 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | LWLDL | |
| 13 | 10 | -11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | WLDLL | |
| 14 | 10 | -3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | LWDDL | |
| 15 | 10 | -3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | WDDWL | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | LDDW | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | LDLWL | |
| 18 | 10 | -2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | LLDLL | |
| 19 | 10 | -10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | LDDLW | |
| 20 | 10 | -12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | DLDLL |