Over 1.5 goals
Observed odds 1.20
Best odds
Winamax1.20
Winamax1.20
Bwin1.17
PMU1.12Observed odds
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ShakhtarDonetsk
SportingCP
Over 1.5 goals
Observed odds 1.20
Winamax1.20Bwin1.17PMU1.12Observed odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 83.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 83.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Shakhtar beat AEK 3-1 at Stamford Bridge on 14 October 2026, then lost 0-1 away to Inter on 21 October; they had also won 3-0 at Veres on 9 October. Sporting won 2-0 at Lens on 13 October, then lost 2-3 to LASK on 21 October after being exposed in transition; they had beaten Galatasaray 3-1 on 9 September.
Sporting have 6 points after three matchdays of the league phase compared with Shakhtar’s 4. The complete run, consistent metrics for chances, shots and pressing, as well as the exact travel burden, have not been established for either team.
In the 2008/09 Champions League, Shakhtar lost 0-1 to Sporting on 22 October 2008, then Sporting won 1-0 against Shakhtar on 4 November 2008. These 18-year-old head-to-head meetings have limited prédictive relevance, as the squads, coaches, context and venue have changed.
On October 20, Sporting reported Zeno Debast, Rodrigo Zalazar and Nuno Santos injured; Rui Borges indicated that Debast was expected to return before Zalazar, without a precise date. Ibrahima Bá was available on that date.
No complete medical report, suspension list or updated match status has been confirmed. The goalkeepers and starters therefore remain unannounced.
Shakhtar can exploit the flanks and the spaces behind Sporting’s full-backs, as Sporting conceded three goals against LASK after problems with the first build-up, midfield link-up and defensive transitions. Conversely, Sporting can attack Shakhtar’s actual neutrality and take advantage of the offensive limitations shown by Shakhtar in the 0-1 defeat against Inter.
The stakes are high for both teams, but no precise qualification requirement is quantified; there is no first-leg score in this league phase.
The match is scheduled for 3 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC, at Stamford Bridge in London, with Shakhtar nominally the home team but on neutral ground. The official line-ups have not been announced.
Dmytro Riznyk started in goal for Shakhtar on 14 and 21 October; Kaique Pereira kept goal for Sporting against LASK on 21 October, without this confirming a start on 3 November.
Eleven from the previous match, against Inter on 21 October 2026
CoachA. Turan
Eleven from the previous match, against Lask Linz on 21 October 2026
CoachRui Borges
Bench
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | +9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | +5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | +5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 3 | +5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 17 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 21 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 22 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 23 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 25 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 26 | 3 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 27 | 3 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 28 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 29 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 31 | 3 | -6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 33 | 3 | -4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 34 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 35 | 3 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 36 | 3 | -12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
