SK Sturm Graz wins
Observed odds 1.54
Observed odds
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SK SturmGraz
NKCelje

SK Sturm Graz wins
Observed odds 1.54
Observed odds
Prediction: SK Sturm Graz · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 61.4 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: SK Sturm Graz · Match result (1X2). Estimated probability: 61.4 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
In the Europa League, Sturm drew 0-0 against Rennes on 16 September, lost 0-3 at Bournemouth on 15 October, then beat Marseille 1-0 on 22 October. In the league, Sturm won 0-2 at Austria Wien on 10 October, 6-1 against Grazer AK on 18 October, and drew 2-2 against Ried on 25 October.
Celje lost 0-2 at Leverkusen on 16 September, 0-3 against Omonia on 15 October, and drew 2-2 against Salzburg on 22 October. The chances, shots, pressing, xG, exact rest, and recent travel are not established by a homogeneous, dated source.
No recent verifiable head-to-head meeting with a date and score is provided by the official sources consulted. Third-party statistics were not retained; therefore, no prédictive H2H signal is exploitable.
Filip Rózga sustained a muscle injury to the back of his thigh during the match against Salzburg; on 25 September, Sturm announced that he would be out for the coming weeks. His presence on 5 November remains uncertain, in the absence of any subsequent official medical update.
The other absences and suspensions have not been confirmed.
Sturm may look to impose its home advantage by building on its 1-0 win over Marseille and its provisional position of 19th with 4 points, while Celje are 29th with 1 point after three matchdays. The opposing scenario rests on Celje’s transitions: their 2-2 draw against Salzburg shows a recent ability to score against an Austrian opponent, while Sturm lost 0-3 at Bournemouth and conceded two goals against Ried.
The precise mechanisms of progression, box defending and set pieces are not documented.
The official lineups have not been published. The starting goalkeeper and probable starters have not been confirmed.
The match is scheduled for 5 November 2026 at 21 h CET, i.e. 20:00 UTC, in the league phase, Matchday 4, at Merkur Arena in Graz.
Official lineups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Bench
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 18 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | -5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 29 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 31 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 32 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 33 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 34 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 35 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 36 | 2 | -8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |