Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.53
Bet3651.50
Pinnacle1.50
1xBet1.46Archived odds
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Espagne
Croatie
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.53
Bet3651.50Pinnacle1.501xBet1.46Archived odds
Spain have a structural home advantage in Seville, but it is limited by the confirmed absence of Pedro Porro and by a short recovery period after the trip to Wembley.
Read the full analysisSpain have a structural home advantage in Seville, but it is limited by the confirmed absence of Pedro Porro and by a short recovery period after the trip to Wembley. Croatia retain a credible route through transitions and set pieces, with no recent data available to assess their strength.
Recent form, the last opponents actually played, chances, shots, xG and pressing are not available in a complete and comparable manner. Spain must face England away on 26 September, while Croatia host Czechia on the same day.
A greater recovery and travel constraint is therefore likely for Spain, but this is a logistical inference, not a performance measurement.
The last explicitly documented encounter was the 2023 Nations League final: Croatia-Spain 0-0 after extra time, followed by Spain's 5-4 victory on penalties in Rotterdam. This precedent is old for this match: the squads, coaches and context have changed.
It therefore has limited prédictive relevance.
Pedro Porro was announced as unavailable after suffering an injury on 19 September 2026. The severity, expected absence and tactical replacement are unavailable.
The other absences and suspensions are not sufficiently confirmed and dated. The absence of news does not allow one to conclude that there are no other injured players.
The match is the 2nd round of Group A3 of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League A, on 29 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville, Spain’s actual home ground. The standings after the first round and the results from 26 September are unknown.
Spanish scenario: the venue may favor territorial control, but Pedro Porro’s absence and the return from Wembley may reduce Spain’s progress down the right and its freshness. Croatian scenario: Croatia may benefit from transitions and set pieces against a less rested Spain, but its starters, goalkeeper and current ability to create in these phases are not documented.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012 | 1 | |
| 14 | 1715 | 14 |
CoachLuis de la Fuente
CoachS. Bilić
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 57 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
EspagneCroatie
RecordEspagne · 1W · 0D · 2L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
