Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
Pinnacle1.53
Pinnacle1.53
Bet3651.50Archived odds
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UnionBerlin
SVElversberg
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Pinnacle1.53Bet3651.50Archived odds
Union Berlin host SV Elversberg on October 10, 2026 at 13h30 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, on matchday 5 of the Bundesliga.
Read the full analysisUnion Berlin host SV Elversberg on October 10, 2026 at 13h30 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, on matchday 5 of the Bundesliga. Union arrive without a win and having conceded 17 goals in four matchdays, while Elversberg have 7 points and have already beaten Leverkusen and Mönchengladbach.
The central mechanism pits transitions and Elversberg’s ability to score late against Union’s opportunity to take advantage of home conditions and set pieces. The decisive limitation is the absence of confirmed information on absences, goalkeepers, and lineups.
Union Berlin come into this match with four documented games: a 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on 29 August, a 0-4 defeat at Leverkusen on 5 September, a 1-3 defeat against Schalke on 11 September, and a 0-7 defeat at Bayern on 19 September. Record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats.
The available data notably include 3,90 xG for Union against Bayern, compared with 0,23 for Bayern, and 2,25 against 1,53 against Schalke; these values do not constitute a homogeneous measure of the entire period. Elversberg beat Leverkusen 3-2 on 29 August and Mönchengladbach 4-3 on 5 September, then lost 1-2 against Bayern on 13 September and drew 0-0 at Schalke on 20 September.
Across its three most recent available matches, its record is one win, one draw, and one defeat. Elversberg showed its ability to turn a match around late against Mönchengladbach, but its xG against Bayern was 0,65 compared with 3,67.
The opponents faced do not make it possible to isolate any general superiority beyond these documented results.
No recent meeting between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg with a verifiable date and score is reported in the pages consulted. The fact that Elversberg played its first Bundesliga match against Bayern only confirms its recent arrival in the top flight; it does not provide a direct prédictive signal for this duel.
After four matchdays, Elversberg are 7th with 7 points and a record of 8-7, compared with Union in 17th place with 1 point and a record of 4-17. Scenario favorable to Union: at home, their effectiveness from set pieces-notably opening the scoring from a corner against Frankfurt-and better management of the press can prevent Elversberg from building out cleanly.
Scenario favorable to Elversberg: their transitions can exploit the spaces behind a Union défense that has conceded 17 goals, as their ability to score late goals showed in Mönchengladbach. Rotation related to possible future fixtures remains hypothetical.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | WWDW | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | DWWW | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | DWDWL | |
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | LDWW | |
| 6 | 4 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | WDWL | |
| 7 | 4 | +4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | WLWD | |
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | DLWW | |
| 9 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | LWLW | |
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | DWLD | |
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DWDL | |
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | WLLD | |
| 13 | 4 | -3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | LDLW | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | LWLL | |
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | LLWL | |
| 16 | 4 | -11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | WLLL | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | LLLD | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | LLLL |
CoachM. Lustrinelli
CoachV. Wagner
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Union BerlinSV Elversberg
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
