Under 3.5 goals
Best odds
Pinnacle1.54
Pinnacle1.54
Bet3651.53
1xBet1.47Archived odds
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Villarreal
Napoli
Timestamped proof
Under 3.5 goals
Pinnacle1.54Bet3651.531xBet1.47Archived odds
Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.57. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.57. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Both teams lost their first European match: Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 on 8 September 2026, while Napoli lost 0-1 to Arsenal on 9 September. The sequence published by Sky Sports then mentions, for Villarreal, 2-3 defeats against Deportivo La Coruña and 1-2 against Real Betis, as well as 3-1 victories against Málaga and Levante.
For Napoli, it mentions a 1-1 draw at Fiorentina on 20 September, a 1-0 victory against Bologna, then 2-3 defeats against Inter and 1-2 against Como. This published list is not guaranteed to be an independent and complete record of the last five matches.
No comparable advantage can be established regarding xG, shots or pressing, due to a lack of reliable metrics covering the same period and using the same provider. Villarreal was also scheduled to host Napoli three days after its away match at Real Madrid, on 10 October; the sporting impact of this schedule is probable but unmeasured.
The recent matchups listed include Villarreal 3-2 Napoli in a friendly on 17 December 2022; Napoli 1-1 Villarreal and Villarreal 1-0 Napoli in the Europa League in February 2016; as well as Napoli 2-0 Villarreal and Villarreal 0-2 Napoli in the Champions League in September and December 2011. Their prédictive valeur is limited: several matches are old, the 2022 precedent was a friendly, and both the coaches and the squads have changed.
Villarreal can use the pitch, the flanks, and transitions after regaining possession to build on their recent 3-1 wins against Málaga and Levante; however, an overly open approach would expose them to spaces behind the full-backs, as suggested by their recent defeats. Conversely, Napoli can slow the pace and exploit turnovers in a context where Villarreal’s recovery may be reduced after Madrid, but their attacking output remains uncertain after the 0-1 against Arsenal and several defeats.
No verified advantage can be attributed to set pieces, box defending, or pressing. The confirmed stakes are securing the first points after zero points for each team; the detailed standings have not been verified.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | +9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | +5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | +5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 3 | +5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 17 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 21 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 22 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 23 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 25 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 26 | 3 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 27 | 3 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 28 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 29 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 3 | -5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 31 | 3 | -6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 33 | 3 | -4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 34 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 35 | 3 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 36 | 3 | -12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
CoachIñigo Pérez
CoachM. Allegri
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
VillarrealNapoli
RecordVillarreal · 1W · 1D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
