Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
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Pays de Galles
DanemarkTimestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds
Denmark arrive with a recent tactical advantage: a 2-0 victory in Copenhagen on 27 September, quick transitions and the creation of problems between the lines. Wales can nevertheless rebalance the matchup in Cardiff after their 2-1 win against Norway on 1 October.
Read the full analysisDenmark arrive with a recent tactical advantage: a 2-0 victory in Copenhagen on 27 September, quick transitions and the creation of problems between the lines. Wales can nevertheless rebalance the matchup in Cardiff after their 2-1 win against Norway on 1 October.
The decisive limitation remains the absence of lineups, goalkeepers and updated absences.
Wales beat Norway 2-1 in Cardiff on 1 October, after a 1-0 defeat against Portugal on 24 September. Denmark lost 4-2 against Portugal on 1 October and 3-2 against Norway on the opening matchday, after beating Wales 2-0 on 27 September.
The two teams have only three calendar days of rest; Denmark must travel to Wales. No xG, complete shot volume or comparable pressing indicator is documented.
Denmark won 2-0 against Wales on 27 September 2026. The FAW also records Denmark as winners 2-0 in Aarhus and then 2-1 in Cardiff in the 2018 Nations League, and 4-0 against Wales in Amsterdam at Euro 2020 in June 2021.
The 27 September matchup is the most relevant, with the same coaches and a nearby international window; the 2018 and 2021 precedents are less prédictive due to changes in squads and context.
Joe Rodon and Dylan Lawlor had been announced as injured absentees in the squad published on September 15, but their status as of October 3 is unconfirmed. The full list of absentees and suspended players, as well as the starting goalkeeper, have not been announced.
The match is played on October 4, 2026 at 18:45 UTC at Cardiff City Stadium, Wales's home ground, in League A, Group A4 of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Portugal lead with three wins; Wales, Denmark and Norway have three points.
Denmark scenario: their transitions, Isaksen's and Dorgu's runs, and exploiting the spaces around the penalty area could extend the advantage observed in Copenhagen, while the short rest could weigh on Wales. Wales scenario: returning to Cardiff, the win against Norway and a more aggressive approach after having shown “too much respect” to Denmark could turn the balance of power around.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 1510 | 39 | |
| 21 | 1620 | 21 |
CoachCraig Bellamy
CoachB. Riemer
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Pays de GallesDanemark
RecordPays de Galles · 1W · 0D · 2L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.