Loading match details…
Loading match details…
This content was machine-translated from the French version.
MMA
Middleweight · Main event
WinnerBrendan AllenSUB · R5
Fight finished
Brendan Allen

« All In »
Kill Cliff FC

« CLD »
Range MMA Academy
Each axis comes from a measured career average, scaled to a fixed 0–100 range.
Allen is listed with a record of 27-7-0 and 14 UFC wins at middleweight, including 8 stoppages and 6 submissions. The UFC Record Book also credits him with 22 successful takedowns, 14 submission attempts, 1:05:28 of control time, and 57:10 in dominant position, across multiple fights and without any guarantee that these figures reflect his recent form.
Duncan is listed with a record of 15-2-0; the UFC rankings consulted credit him with five UFC KO/TKO wins and a five-fight winning streak. The retained context includes decision wins over Roman Dolidze on March 21, 2026 and Jared Cannonier on July 19, 2026, as well as KO/TKO wins over Marco Tulio on November 9, 2025 and Eryk Anders on August 9, 2025.
Duncan also shows 58.0% significant-strike accuracy and a +2.09 striking differential in the UFC rankings, based on a sample limited to eligible fights.
No verifiable prior meeting between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan has been identified. There is therefore no direct score or trend to report; this absence limits any specific comparison between their styles.
The official weigh-in had not yet been verified. No weigh-in weight, replacement, verifiable public injury, medical stoppage, or weight-cut difficulty has been established. The medical status of both fighters therefore remains unknown.
Allen would look to close the distance, create multiple wrestling entries, work against the cage, then extend control or look for a submission; his historical takedown, control, and submission volumes support this scenario. Duncan could instead keep the fight standing thanks to his 58.0% accuracy, +2.09 striking differential, and five UFC KO/TKOs.
Contrasting scenario: if Allen imposes repeated wrestling sequences, his control can neutralize Duncan’s striking; if Duncan maintains distance and avoids the cage, his clean striking and finishing power can take over. Duncan’s actual five-round experience and takedown défense are not sufficiently documented.
The two identified fighters are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan. No opponent replacement has been confirmed.
The fight is announced as the main event of UFC Fight Night 290, at middleweight, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, on October 10, 2026 according to the local schedule. The official number of rounds remains to be confirmed; five rounds are plausible for a main event, without being established.
Allen presents the clearest path to victory through wrestling, control, and submission, while Christian Leroy Duncan can turn the fight around by staying at range and exploiting his striking precision.
A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.