Prediction Cody Garbrandt – Adrian Yanez: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

Analysis available in French only

UFC 329

Bantamweight

against

Sunday, 12 July 202601:40

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Fight finished

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18+ only.

« No Love »

15
Wins: 8
Losses: 0
Draws

Age: 35
Height: 173 cm
Reach: 166 cm
Weight: 61.7 kg
Stance: Orthodox

Team Alpha Male

18
Wins: 6
Losses: 1
Draws

Age: 32
Height: 170 cm
Reach: 178 cm
Weight: 61.7 kg
Stance: Orthodox

Metro Fight Club

Fighting style analysis

Cody Garbrandt

Key stats (career averages)

2.34Significant strikes / min5.91
44%Significant strike accuracy42%
0.72Takedowns / 15 min0.00
17%Takedown accuracy0%
0.00Submissions / 15 min0.00
84%Takedown defence71%
3.12Strikes absorbed / min4.47
47%Significant strike defense59%

Each axis comes from a measured career average, scaled to a fixed 0–100 range.

Adrian Yanez

Tactical analysis

Measured advantages of Cody Garbrandt

Puissance de frappe : 73 % de victoires par KO
Excellente défense de takedown (84 %)
Bon cardio : plusieurs victoires dans les derniers rounds
Finisseur : 74 % de combats terminés avant la limite

Measured advantages of Adrian Yanez

Puissance de frappe : 67 % de victoires par KO
Volume de frappe élevé (5.91 coups significatifs / min)
Bon cardio : plusieurs victoires dans les derniers rounds
Avantage d'allonge : +12 cm

Watch out for

5 défaites par KO : menton à surveiller
Âge : 35 ans

Watch out for

2 défaites par KO : menton à surveiller

Recent fights

Cody Garbrandt (15 - 8)

Lossagainst Adrian YañezKO/TKO - Punches11 Jul 2026
Winagainst Xiao LongDecision - Unanimous08 Mar 2026
Lossagainst Raoni BarcelosDecision - Unanimous15 Jun 2025
Lossagainst Deiveson FigueiredoSubmission - Rear Naked Choke13 Apr 2024
Winagainst Brian KelleherKO/TKO - Punch17 Dec 2023

Adrian Yanez (18 - 6)

Winagainst Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO - Punches11 Jul 2026
Lossagainst Daniel MarcosDecision - Split15 Dec 2024
Winagainst Vinicius SalvadorKO/TKO - Punches18 May 2024
Lossagainst Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO - Kicks14 Oct 2023
Lossagainst Rob FontKO/TKO - Punch09 Apr 2023

Striking vs grappling — detailed comparison

Cody Garbrandt · Striking

Significant strikes / min2.34
Significant strike accuracy44%
Strikes absorbed / min3.12
Significant strike defense47%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min0.72
Takedown accuracy17%
Submissions / 15 min0.00
Takedown defence84%

Adrian Yanez · Striking

Significant strikes / min5.91
Significant strike accuracy42%
Strikes absorbed / min4.47
Significant strike defense59%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min0.00
Takedown accuracy0%
Submissions / 15 min0.00
Takedown defence71%

Fight information

Date: Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 01:40
Weight class: Bantamweight
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Competition: UFC 329
Scheduled rounds: 3 rounds

Detailed analysis

Fighters' momentum

Garbrandt (28 %) a rebondi par décision en mars 2026 mais reste 2V-3D sur 5, stoppé 4 fois en carrière (chin fragilisé). Yanez (72 %) est précis et durable mais ko-able (Martinez low kick, Font). Deux strikers 'heavy hands'.

Head-to-head

Pas de croisement. Garbrandt explosif, power de l'ex-champ ; Yanez boxeur plus régulier sur 3 rounds. Le risque de KO mutuel est réel (pOver 1.5 seulement 60 %).

Preparation and physical condition

Aucune blessure ni short notice sur ce combat. Pesée : Garbrandt 136 lb, Yanez 136 lb, validés (28 combattants ont fait le poids).

Context & news

Combat de prestige chez les bantamweights. Yanez veut 'prouver un point' face à un ancien champion, tandis que Garbrandt est en quête de relance après une série difficile.

Aucune fade news ni blessure ; l'enjeu de ranking est élevé et le nom de Garbrandt attire l'attention médiatique.

Matchup and opponent

Pas de compositions. Garbrandt (boxeur explosif, chin précaire) vs Yanez (boxeur précis, volume). Les deux peuvent finir tôt malgré la durabilité relative.

Pick summary

Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.

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