Loading match details…
Loading match details…
This content was machine-translated from the French version.
MMA
Light Heavyweight
Oumar Sy
Unibet1.38
« The Baltic Gladiator »
Gintas Combat
American Top Team
Each axis comes from a measured career average, scaled to a fixed 0–100 range.
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse, at the Accor Arena in Paris, in the light heavyweight division and scheduled for three rounds. Bukauskas is coming off a split decision against Christian Edwards after a KO loss to Nikita Krylov; Sy has a confirmed record of 12-2 compared with Bukauskas’s 20-7.
Available UFC statistics give Bukauskas 3.14 significant strikes landed and 3.86 absorbed per minute, with 82% takedown défense; Sy records 3.41 landed, 1.87 absorbed, 67% takedown défense, 2 successful takedowns out of 20 attempts, and 0.35 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Sy’s volume remains limited, and the quality of his opponents varies.
No previous bout between Oumar Sy and Modestas Bukauskas is established in the sources consulted. The analysis therefore relies on their separate careers, UFC statistics, and documented styles, without a direct history allowing their actual compatibility to be measured.
No reliable public injury or confirmed medical issue. No last-minute replacement has been established. Detailed medical status and any potential preparation difficulties remain unavailable information.
Favorable scenario for Sy: he closes the distance, works against the cage, chains together wrestling entries, and seeks top control or a submission; his four documented submission victories and wrestling activity support this path, despite a low takedown rate in the UFC sample. Favorable scenario for Bukauskas: his listed 82% takedown défense allows him to keep the fight standing, impose a kickboxing pace, and target a decision or KO/TKO; he recently contested a three-round decision.
Bukauskas does, however, absorb more strikes per minute, while Sy has 67% takedown défense. The Parisian crowd advantage for Sy is a plausible inference, not a measured sporting fact.
A light heavyweight bout between Oumar Sy and Modestas Bukauskas, scheduled for three rounds. The official weigh-in on September 4, 2026, was successful, with Sy at 206 lb and Bukauskas at 205 lb.
No last-minute replacement for this matchup has been established. The earlier change concerning Bukauskas’s opponent relates to his previous preparation and does not directly modify the current matchup.
Sy enters with a market advantage and a clear tactical path: close the distance, wrestle against the cage, and leverage his submission threat. Bukauskas nevertheless retains a credible path through takedown défense, kickboxing, and a decision.
A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.
