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MMA
Flyweight
Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Cody Durden
Operator odds are not available right now
Median operator odds, shown for information only.

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Each axis comes from a measured career average, scaled to a fixed 0–100 range.
Median operator odds, shown for information only.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan, announced at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas on October 31, 2026, in the flyweight division. Osbourne is listed with a record of 13-9-0, age 34, 1.70 m, and a 73-inch reach; his last appearance listed by the UFC was on February 21, 2026, against Alibi Idiris.
Durden is listed with a record of 18-11-1, age 35, 1.70 m, and a 67-inch reach; his last appearance was on July 11, 2026, against Alessandro Costa. Both profiles are classified as strikers.
A three-round format is likely, but the official weigh-in sheet had not been published. The comparative level of opposition cannot be properly assessed with the information retained.
No recent matchup between Osbourne and Durden is verifiable in the information retained. There is therefore no direct comparison to shed light on the bout; the analysis relies on their individual profiles and recent opponents, with limited prédictive valeur.
No public injury, medical stoppage, or disrupted preparation is verifiable before the information cutoff. The official weigh-in had not yet taken place or been published; the status of the weight cut and medical condition therefore remain unknown.
Osbourne has six inches of additional reach, a striker profile, and UFC statistics including 2.94 significant strikes per minute, 49% striking défense, 67% takedown défense, and 0.94 takedowns per 15 minutes. His favorable scenario is to maintain distance, intercept entries, and win by decision or KO/TKO.
Durden has six KO wins and six submission wins in his UFC profile; his favorable scenario is to reduce space through pressure, clinching, and wrestling to win by control or submission. Conversely, the reach may complicate his entries, while Osbourne's takedown défense is not perfect.
The comparative quality of opponents, control against the cage, get-ups, and wrestling entries are not quantified uniformly. The profiles document three-round fights for their most recent appearances, with no recent verifiable five-round experience to establish a cardio advantage.
Both fighters and the UFC promotion are confirmed. The fight is announced at flyweight on the main card.
A three-round format is likely. The weigh-in had not yet taken place or been published, and no replacement or opponent change has been confirmed.
The exact fight time remains to be confirmed.
Prediction: Cody Durden · Fight winner. Estimated probability: 50.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
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