Prediction Leylah Fernandez – Elise Mertens: analysis, odds and forecast

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

CANNo.23 WTA

Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis

Final

Round 2Women’s singles

Thursday, 29 October 2026 · 04:05

Tokyo

BELNo.14 WTA

Marcelito predictionLost

Elise Mertens

Match winner

Observed odds1.80

Win probability

50%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Elise Mertens · Match winner. Estimated probability: 50 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

FernandezMertens

World rankingNo.23No.14
Ranking points1,9742,540
Win rate (career)59 %63 %
Wins (career)259511
Titles610

Detailed analysis

Fernandez defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in Ningbo on 21 October 2026, 7-5, 6-7(3), 6-3, after 3 h 03. Mertens defeated Iga Świątek in Beijing on 9 October 2026, 7-6(0), 6-3, in 1 h 50. These results document a recent ability for Fernandez to handle intensity and a high-level hard-court performance for Mertens, but coverage of previous matches is incomplete and does not allow for a precise comparison of their form or workload.Read the full analysis

Recent form

Fernandez defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in Ningbo on 21 October 2026, 7-5, 6-7(3), 6-3, after 3 h 03. Mertens defeated Iga Świątek in Beijing on 9 October 2026, 7-6(0), 6-3, in 1 h 50.

These results document a recent ability for Fernandez to handle intensity and a high-level hard-court performance for Mertens, but coverage of previous matches is incomplete and does not allow for a precise comparison of their form or workload.

Line-up and availability

2026 Toray Pan Pacific Open women’s singles, on hard court in Tokyo. The consulted draw places Fernandez against Himeno Sakatsume in the first round and Mertens, the No. 5 seed, against Moyuka Uchijima.

The round and the existence of the Fernandez–Mertens match on 29 October at 04:00 UTC remain to be confirmed.

Market reading

Prediction: Elise Mertens · Match winner. Estimated probability: 50 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Head-to-head

19 Oct 2026BNB Ningbo OpenLeylah Fernandez2-6 6-3 7-5

Recent form

Leylah Fernandez4 W - 1 L

27 Oct 2026vs Himeno Sakatsume6-2 6-4W
25 Oct 2026vs Elena Rybakina2-6 2-6L
24 Oct 2026vs Marie Bouzkova6-3 7-5W
23 Oct 2026vs Ekaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-2 6-1W
21 Oct 2026vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich7-5 6-7(3) 6-3W

Elise Mertens2 W - 3 L

26 Oct 2026vs Moyuka Uchijima6-4 6-2W
19 Oct 2026vs Leylah Fernandez6-2 3-6 5-7L
13 Oct 2026vs Daria Snigur4-6 5-7L
10 Oct 2026vs Zheng Qinwen5-7 2-6L
09 Oct 2026vs Iga Swiatek7-6(0) 6-3W

Surface & conditions

Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis

Court: Center

WTA ranking

#	Player	Points
12	Iva Jovic	2,941
13	Diana Shnaider	2,798
14	Elise Mertens	2,540
15	Victoria Mboko	2,393
16	Sorana Cirstea	2,386
…
21	Madison Keys	2,029
22	Zheng Qinwen	2,018
23	Leylah Fernandez	1,974
24	Marie Bouzkova	1,959
25	Anna Kalinskaya	1,935

See the full ranking

1	Elena Rybakina	9,501
2	Aryna Sabalenka	7,550
3	Mirra Andreeva	6,306
4	Jessica Pegula	6,225
5	Coco Gauff	5,973
6	Elina Svitolina	5,229
7	Karolina Muchova	4,725
8	Iga Swiatek	4,389
9	Linda Noskova	4,353
10	Marta Kostyuk	3,920
11	Maja Chwalinska	3,016
12	Iva Jovic	2,941
13	Diana Shnaider	2,798
14	Elise Mertens	2,540
15	Victoria Mboko	2,393
16	Sorana Cirstea	2,386
17	Amanda Anisimova	2,363
18	Naomi Osaka	2,287
19	Alexandra Eala	2,241
20	Belinda Bencic	2,222
21	Madison Keys	2,029
22	Zheng Qinwen	2,018
23	Leylah Fernandez	1,974
24	Marie Bouzkova	1,959
25	Anna Kalinskaya	1,935
26	Jelena Ostapenko	1,916
27	Anastasia Potapova	1,814
28	Emma Navarro	1,794
29	Nikola Bartunkova	1,711
30	Maria Sakkari	1,682
31	Ann Li	1,681
32	Sara Bejlek	1,633
33	Ekaterina Alexandrova	1,591
34	Diane Parry	1,549
35	Jasmine Paolini	1,512
36	Donna Vekic	1,333
37	Peyton Stearns	1,316
38	Talia Gibson	1,306
39	Wang Xinyu	1,288
40	Daria Snigur	1,280
41	Kimberly Birrell	1,280
42	Cristina Bucsa	1,279
43	Liudmila Samsonova	1,234
44	Ashlyn Krueger	1,233
45	Hailey Baptiste	1,153
46	Barbora Krejcikova	1,133
47	Janice Tjen	1,120
48	Katie Boulter	1,115
49	Katerina Siniakova	1,114
50	Magdalena Frech	1,110
51	Karolina Pliskova	1,105
52	Sonay Kartal	1,097
53	Lilli Tagger	1,091
54	Yuliia Starodubtseva	1,090
55	Anhelina Kalinina	1,087
56	Mayar Sherif	1,085
57	Lanlana Tararudee	1,083
58	Clara Tauson	1,074
59	Tamara Korpatsch	1,070
60	Elena-Gabriela Ruse	1,033
61	Paula Badosa	1,023
62	Oleksandra Oliynykova	1,022
63	Catherine McNally	999
64	Zeynep Sonmez	987
65	Alycia Parks	985
66	Kamilla Rakhimova	976
67	Yulia Putintseva	969
68	Camila Osorio	953
69	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	951
70	Tatjana Maria	945
71	Magda Linette	936
72	Maria Timofeeva	931
73	Anna Blinkova	921
74	Viktorija Golubic	914
75	Daria Kasatkina	913
76	Anna Bondar	913
77	Sinja Kraus	909
78	Panna Udvardy	899
79	Alina Korneeva	895
80	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	886
81	Katie Volynets	874
82	Wang Xiyu	869
83	Jaqueline Cristian	869
84	Antonia Ruzic	862
85	Taylah Preston	858
86	Kaitlin Quevedo	855
87	Tereza Valentova	853
88	Petra Marcinko	835
89	Taylor Townsend	831
90	Leolia Jeanjean	816
91	Polina Kudermetova	813
92	Darja Vidmanova	812
93	Zhang Shuai	807
94	Maya Joint	782
95	Renata Zarazua	782
96	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	769
97	Dayana Yastremska	752
98	Francesca Jones	752
99	Fiona Ferro	748
100	Alina Charaeva	736
101	Solana Sierra	730
102	Lisa Pigato	719
103	Hanne Vandewinkel	718
104	Emma Raducanu	709
105	Anastasia Zakharova	704
106	Katarzyna Kawa	701
107	Kristina Liutova	694
108	Dominika Salkova	693
109	Claire Liu	691
110	McCartney Kessler	689
111	Elvina Kalieva	688
112	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	686
113	Mary Stoiana	673
114	Himeno Sakatsume	665
115	Harriet Dart	661
116	Laura Samson	658
117	Sloane Stephens	655
118	Lucrezia Stefanini	648
119	Kayla Day	635
120	Oksana Selekhmeteva	633
121	Moyuka Uchijima	632
122	Julia Grabher	625
123	Tatiana Prozorova	615
124	Jeline Vandromme	601
125	Marina Bassols Ribera	587
126	Noma Noha Akugue	582
127	Emerson Jones	581
128	Simona Waltert	580
129	Bianca Andreescu	573
130	Maddison Inglis	570
131	Leyre Romero Gormaz	570
132	Lucia Bronzetti	560
133	Alexandra Shubladze	548
134	Ajla Tomljanovic	546
135	Elsa Jacquemot	544
136	Veronika Podrez	532
137	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	525
138	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	519
139	Elizara Yaneva	517
140	Julia Riera	514
141	Tamara Zidansek	513
142	Rebecca Sramkova	507
143	Teodora Kostovic	506
144	Mia Pohankova	504
145	Elina Avanesyan	498
146	Storm Hunter	492
147	Polina Iatcenko	490
148	Martyna Kubka	490
149	Susan Bandecchi	487
150	Robin Montgomery	485

Players & profiles

No.23 WTA

Age: 24 years
Height: 1,68 m
Weight: 48 kg
Plays: Left-handed
Born in: Montreal, Quebec

No.14 WTA

Age: 30 years
Height: 1,78 m
Weight: 67 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Leuven, Belgium

Photos : Leylah Fernandez © Hameltion CC BY-SA 4.0

Career record

	Fernandez	Mertens
2026 season · W / L	28 - 26	33 - 22
Wins / Losses	259 - 179	511 - 304
Win rate	59 %	63 %
Titles 2026	1	0
Titles	6	10

Keys to the match

If the matchup is real, Fernandez could rely on her demonstrated resilience during a marathon won in three sets, but residual fatigue is possible and her physical condition is not documented.
Mertens could benefit from the confidence gained from her victory over Świątek on hard court, but this result from October 9 is insufficient to establish her exact form on October 29.

Players & fitness

No injury, physical limitation, or retirement is confirmed for Fernandez or Mertens before 27 October 2026.
No directly comparable figures for serve, return, breaks, or fatigue have been established with a sufficiently precise period and unit.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

CANNo.23 WTA

Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis

Final

Round 2Women’s singles

Thursday, 29 October 2026 · 04:05

Tokyo

BELNo.14 WTA

Marcelito predictionLost

Elise Mertens

Match winner

Observed odds1.80

Win probability

50%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Elise Mertens · Match winner. Estimated probability: 50 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

FernandezMertens

World rankingNo.23No.14
Ranking points1,9742,540
Win rate (career)59 %63 %
Wins (career)259511
Titles610

Detailed analysis

Recent form

Fernandez defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in Ningbo on 21 October 2026, 7-5, 6-7(3), 6-3, after 3 h 03. Mertens defeated Iga Świątek in Beijing on 9 October 2026, 7-6(0), 6-3, in 1 h 50.

Line-up and availability

The round and the existence of the Fernandez–Mertens match on 29 October at 04:00 UTC remain to be confirmed.

Market reading

Prediction: Elise Mertens · Match winner. Estimated probability: 50 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Head-to-head

19 Oct 2026BNB Ningbo OpenLeylah Fernandez2-6 6-3 7-5

Recent form

Leylah Fernandez4 W - 1 L

27 Oct 2026vs Himeno Sakatsume6-2 6-4W
25 Oct 2026vs Elena Rybakina2-6 2-6L
24 Oct 2026vs Marie Bouzkova6-3 7-5W
23 Oct 2026vs Ekaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-2 6-1W
21 Oct 2026vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich7-5 6-7(3) 6-3W

Elise Mertens2 W - 3 L

26 Oct 2026vs Moyuka Uchijima6-4 6-2W
19 Oct 2026vs Leylah Fernandez6-2 3-6 5-7L
13 Oct 2026vs Daria Snigur4-6 5-7L
10 Oct 2026vs Zheng Qinwen5-7 2-6L
09 Oct 2026vs Iga Swiatek7-6(0) 6-3W

Surface & conditions

Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis

Court: Center

WTA ranking

#	Player	Points
12	Iva Jovic	2,941
13	Diana Shnaider	2,798
14	Elise Mertens	2,540
15	Victoria Mboko	2,393
16	Sorana Cirstea	2,386
…
21	Madison Keys	2,029
22	Zheng Qinwen	2,018
23	Leylah Fernandez	1,974
24	Marie Bouzkova	1,959
25	Anna Kalinskaya	1,935

See the full ranking

1	Elena Rybakina	9,501
2	Aryna Sabalenka	7,550
3	Mirra Andreeva	6,306
4	Jessica Pegula	6,225
5	Coco Gauff	5,973
6	Elina Svitolina	5,229
7	Karolina Muchova	4,725
8	Iga Swiatek	4,389
9	Linda Noskova	4,353
10	Marta Kostyuk	3,920
11	Maja Chwalinska	3,016
12	Iva Jovic	2,941
13	Diana Shnaider	2,798
14	Elise Mertens	2,540
15	Victoria Mboko	2,393
16	Sorana Cirstea	2,386
17	Amanda Anisimova	2,363
18	Naomi Osaka	2,287
19	Alexandra Eala	2,241
20	Belinda Bencic	2,222
21	Madison Keys	2,029
22	Zheng Qinwen	2,018
23	Leylah Fernandez	1,974
24	Marie Bouzkova	1,959
25	Anna Kalinskaya	1,935
26	Jelena Ostapenko	1,916
27	Anastasia Potapova	1,814
28	Emma Navarro	1,794
29	Nikola Bartunkova	1,711
30	Maria Sakkari	1,682
31	Ann Li	1,681
32	Sara Bejlek	1,633
33	Ekaterina Alexandrova	1,591
34	Diane Parry	1,549
35	Jasmine Paolini	1,512
36	Donna Vekic	1,333
37	Peyton Stearns	1,316
38	Talia Gibson	1,306
39	Wang Xinyu	1,288
40	Daria Snigur	1,280
41	Kimberly Birrell	1,280
42	Cristina Bucsa	1,279
43	Liudmila Samsonova	1,234
44	Ashlyn Krueger	1,233
45	Hailey Baptiste	1,153
46	Barbora Krejcikova	1,133
47	Janice Tjen	1,120
48	Katie Boulter	1,115
49	Katerina Siniakova	1,114
50	Magdalena Frech	1,110
51	Karolina Pliskova	1,105
52	Sonay Kartal	1,097
53	Lilli Tagger	1,091
54	Yuliia Starodubtseva	1,090
55	Anhelina Kalinina	1,087
56	Mayar Sherif	1,085
57	Lanlana Tararudee	1,083
58	Clara Tauson	1,074
59	Tamara Korpatsch	1,070
60	Elena-Gabriela Ruse	1,033
61	Paula Badosa	1,023
62	Oleksandra Oliynykova	1,022
63	Catherine McNally	999
64	Zeynep Sonmez	987
65	Alycia Parks	985
66	Kamilla Rakhimova	976
67	Yulia Putintseva	969
68	Camila Osorio	953
69	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	951
70	Tatjana Maria	945
71	Magda Linette	936
72	Maria Timofeeva	931
73	Anna Blinkova	921
74	Viktorija Golubic	914
75	Daria Kasatkina	913
76	Anna Bondar	913
77	Sinja Kraus	909
78	Panna Udvardy	899
79	Alina Korneeva	895
80	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	886
81	Katie Volynets	874
82	Wang Xiyu	869
83	Jaqueline Cristian	869
84	Antonia Ruzic	862
85	Taylah Preston	858
86	Kaitlin Quevedo	855
87	Tereza Valentova	853
88	Petra Marcinko	835
89	Taylor Townsend	831
90	Leolia Jeanjean	816
91	Polina Kudermetova	813
92	Darja Vidmanova	812
93	Zhang Shuai	807
94	Maya Joint	782
95	Renata Zarazua	782
96	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	769
97	Dayana Yastremska	752
98	Francesca Jones	752
99	Fiona Ferro	748
100	Alina Charaeva	736
101	Solana Sierra	730
102	Lisa Pigato	719
103	Hanne Vandewinkel	718
104	Emma Raducanu	709
105	Anastasia Zakharova	704
106	Katarzyna Kawa	701
107	Kristina Liutova	694
108	Dominika Salkova	693
109	Claire Liu	691
110	McCartney Kessler	689
111	Elvina Kalieva	688
112	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	686
113	Mary Stoiana	673
114	Himeno Sakatsume	665
115	Harriet Dart	661
116	Laura Samson	658
117	Sloane Stephens	655
118	Lucrezia Stefanini	648
119	Kayla Day	635
120	Oksana Selekhmeteva	633
121	Moyuka Uchijima	632
122	Julia Grabher	625
123	Tatiana Prozorova	615
124	Jeline Vandromme	601
125	Marina Bassols Ribera	587
126	Noma Noha Akugue	582
127	Emerson Jones	581
128	Simona Waltert	580
129	Bianca Andreescu	573
130	Maddison Inglis	570
131	Leyre Romero Gormaz	570
132	Lucia Bronzetti	560
133	Alexandra Shubladze	548
134	Ajla Tomljanovic	546
135	Elsa Jacquemot	544
136	Veronika Podrez	532
137	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	525
138	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	519
139	Elizara Yaneva	517
140	Julia Riera	514
141	Tamara Zidansek	513
142	Rebecca Sramkova	507
143	Teodora Kostovic	506
144	Mia Pohankova	504
145	Elina Avanesyan	498
146	Storm Hunter	492
147	Polina Iatcenko	490
148	Martyna Kubka	490
149	Susan Bandecchi	487
150	Robin Montgomery	485

Players & profiles

No.23 WTA

Age: 24 years
Height: 1,68 m
Weight: 48 kg
Plays: Left-handed
Born in: Montreal, Quebec

No.14 WTA

Age: 30 years
Height: 1,78 m
Weight: 67 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Leuven, Belgium

Career record

	Fernandez	Mertens
2026 season · W / L	28 - 26	33 - 22
Wins / Losses	259 - 179	511 - 304
Win rate	59 %	63 %
Titles 2026	1	0
Titles	6	10

Keys to the match

If the matchup is real, Fernandez could rely on her demonstrated resilience during a marathon won in three sets, but residual fatigue is possible and her physical condition is not documented.
Mertens could benefit from the confidence gained from her victory over Świątek on hard court, but this result from October 9 is insufficient to establish her exact form on October 29.

Players & fitness

No injury, physical limitation, or retirement is confirmed for Fernandez or Mertens before 27 October 2026.
No directly comparable figures for serve, return, breaks, or fatigue have been established with a sufficiently precise period and unit.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.