Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.21
Best odds
Bwin1.21
Bwin1.21
Unibet1.20
Winamax1.18Archived odds
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Vasco daGama
Flamengo
Timestamped proof
Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.21
Bwin1.21Unibet1.20Winamax1.18Archived odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 79.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 79.2 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Vasco are coming off a 3-2 win over Corinthians on October 24 at São Januário. Flamengo beat Atlético-MG 3-2 on October 26, with a decisive goal in added time.
No complete and verifiable run of the last five matches, nor comparable xG, shot, or pressing data, has been established. Flamengo had 24 points after 11 matchdays of the second round compared with Vasco’s 15, a figure published before the final matchday and not constituting a complete current standings table.
The first matchup of the 2026 season ended 2-2, according to the CBF’s presentation for the 33rd matchday. This precedent remains limited for predicting this match: the squads, coaches, and venue may differ.
For Flamengo, Jorge Carrascal is reported suspended, while Danilo and Evertton Araújo are reported absent for physical reasons; these statuses are not supported by an official bulletin consulted. For Vasco, Carlos Cuesta, Mateus Carvalho, and Cauan Barros are reported absent by the sports press.
Andrés Gómez’s status is unconfirmed.
The match is the 33rd round of the 2026 Brasileirão, played on October 29 at 20:00 in Brasília at Nilton Santos. Vasco is the home team, but away from São Januário, which reduces its usual advantage without creating a strictly neutral venue.
Flamengo scenario: its league position, second-half momentum and recent ability to maintain pressure may matter despite the absences. Vasco scenario: Flamengo’s fatigue, significant rotation and transitions after its victory against Corinthians could reverse the balance of power.
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 2 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 1 | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 2 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 45 | 1 | 0 | ||
| — | — | 1 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 87 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Vasco da GamaFlamengo
RecordVasco da Gama · 0W · 2D · 1L
